Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $70-80 billion IPO raise for SpaceX at the highest implied probability of 26%, closely trailed by $50-60 billion at 19%, reflecting recent reports of a $70-75 billion fundraising target amid a lined-up syndicate of 21 banks for the code-named Project Apex IPO, potentially as early as June 2026. This clustering stems from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer precedent—yielding just $2.56 billion in proceeds—and ambitions for a record $1.75 trillion valuation fueled by Starlink's subscriber surge and launch dominance, though tempered by dilution concerns, retail allocation talks (up to 30% via E*Trade), and macro risk appetite. Key swing factors include imminent S-1 filing details on share issuance and roadshow demand, with higher bins hinging on blockbuster investor uptake versus scaled-back sizing if valuations compress.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$82,628 Vol.
$82,628 Vol.
<40B
6%
40-50B
15%
50-60B
19%
60-70B
18%
70-80B
26%
80-90B
14%
90-100B
5%
100-110B
1%
110-120B
1%
120B+
2%
$82,628 Vol.
$82,628 Vol.
<40B
$8,496 Vol.
6%
40-50B
$4,961 Vol.
15%
50-60B
$15,387 Vol.
19%
60-70B
$7,316 Vol.
18%
70-80B
$10,779 Vol.
26%
80-90B
$7,357 Vol.
14%
90-100B
$7,729 Vol.
5%
100-110B
$5,899 Vol.
1%
110-120B
$7,631 Vol.
1%
120B+
$7,073 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $70-80 billion IPO raise for SpaceX at the highest implied probability of 26%, closely trailed by $50-60 billion at 19%, reflecting recent reports of a $70-75 billion fundraising target amid a lined-up syndicate of 21 banks for the code-named Project Apex IPO, potentially as early as June 2026. This clustering stems from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer precedent—yielding just $2.56 billion in proceeds—and ambitions for a record $1.75 trillion valuation fueled by Starlink's subscriber surge and launch dominance, though tempered by dilution concerns, retail allocation talks (up to 30% via E*Trade), and macro risk appetite. Key swing factors include imminent S-1 filing details on share issuance and roadshow demand, with higher bins hinging on blockbuster investor uptake versus scaled-back sizing if valuations compress.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$82,628Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $70-80 billion IPO raise for SpaceX at the highest implied probability of 26%, closely trailed by $50-60 billion at 19%, reflecting recent reports of a $70-75 billion fundraising target amid a lined-up syndicate of 21 banks for the code-named Project Apex IPO, potentially as early as June 2026. This clustering stems from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer precedent—yielding just $2.56 billion in proceeds—and ambitions for a record $1.75 trillion valuation fueled by Starlink's subscriber surge and launch dominance, though tempered by dilution concerns, retail allocation talks (up to 30% via E*Trade), and macro risk appetite. Key swing factors include imminent S-1 filing details on share issuance and roadshow demand, with higher bins hinging on blockbuster investor uptake versus scaled-back sizing if valuations compress.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82,628Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $70-80 billion IPO raise for SpaceX at the highest implied probability of 26%, closely trailed by $50-60 billion at 19%, reflecting recent reports of a $70-75 billion fundraising target amid a lined-up syndicate of 21 banks for the code-named Project Apex IPO, potentially as early as June 2026. This clustering stems from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer precedent—yielding just $2.56 billion in proceeds—and ambitions for a record $1.75 trillion valuation fueled by Starlink's subscriber surge and launch dominance, though tempered by dilution concerns, retail allocation talks (up to 30% via E*Trade), and macro risk appetite. Key swing factors include imminent S-1 filing details on share issuance and roadshow demand, with higher bins hinging on blockbuster investor uptake versus scaled-back sizing if valuations compress.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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