Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 1 at 24°C under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds, driving trader consensus with 47.5% implied probability on that outcome and 35% for 23°C. This positioning reflects springtime warming trends in Hubei province, where high-pressure ridges promote stable, above-average conditions—historical early-April highs average 20-22°C per long-term observational data. International models like those mirrored by AccuWeather align closely at 24-25°C, though minor discrepancies arise from potential afternoon cloud cover or urban heat effects. Official station measurements at Hankou Observatory will resolve the market, with intraday updates tracking deviations from model projections amid typical forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
24°C 50%
23°C 36%
25°C 13%
26°C 4.3%
$49,023 Vol.
$49,023 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
36%
24°C
52%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
23°C 36%
25°C 13%
26°C 4.3%
$49,023 Vol.
$49,023 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
36%
24°C
52%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 1 at 24°C under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds, driving trader consensus with 47.5% implied probability on that outcome and 35% for 23°C. This positioning reflects springtime warming trends in Hubei province, where high-pressure ridges promote stable, above-average conditions—historical early-April highs average 20-22°C per long-term observational data. International models like those mirrored by AccuWeather align closely at 24-25°C, though minor discrepancies arise from potential afternoon cloud cover or urban heat effects. Official station measurements at Hankou Observatory will resolve the market, with intraday updates tracking deviations from model projections amid typical forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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