Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest forecast models from agencies like AccuWeather and Meteored, converging on a high near 20°C for Buenos Aires on April 6 amid an approaching frontal system bringing thick cloud cover, heavy showers, and breezy conditions that suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation. Recent SMN updates note a sharp temperature drop following early April warmth (27°C highs on April 2-3), with 94% rain probability and southerly winds enhancing cooling. Tight odds among 19°C, 21°C, and 20°C stem from model uncertainty in front timing and precipitation intensity—earlier clearing could boost to 21-22°C, while persistent rain favors 18-19°C. New ensemble runs expected by April 4-5 may refine this, against April climatological averages of 22-24°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 6 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 6 de abril?
19°C 22%
21°C 22%
20°C 21%
18°C 13%
14°C ou menos
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
13%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
22%
22°C
12%
23°C
6%
24°C ou mais
6%
19°C 22%
21°C 22%
20°C 21%
18°C 13%
14°C ou menos
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
6%
18°C
13%
19°C
22%
20°C
21%
21°C
22%
22°C
12%
23°C
6%
24°C ou mais
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest forecast models from agencies like AccuWeather and Meteored, converging on a high near 20°C for Buenos Aires on April 6 amid an approaching frontal system bringing thick cloud cover, heavy showers, and breezy conditions that suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation. Recent SMN updates note a sharp temperature drop following early April warmth (27°C highs on April 2-3), with 94% rain probability and southerly winds enhancing cooling. Tight odds among 19°C, 21°C, and 20°C stem from model uncertainty in front timing and precipitation intensity—earlier clearing could boost to 21-22°C, while persistent rain favors 18-19°C. New ensemble runs expected by April 4-5 may refine this, against April climatological averages of 22-24°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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