Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Gold (GC) end-of-March positioning reflects a tug-of-war between safe-haven inflows from escalating US-Iran tensions, which propelled spot prices above $4,500 briefly this week, and counterpressures from the Fed's March 18 FOMC statement holding fed funds at 3.50%-3.75% while dot plots imply steady rates into mid-2026 amid sticky inflation. January PCE rose 2.8% year-over-year, bolstering real yields with 10-year Treasuries at 4.44% and DXY near 100.2, capping gold's rally near $4,460/oz. The March 2026 futures (GCH26) settled at $4,492 on March 27; final days' flows and any Middle East flare-ups could sway resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoOuro (GC) acima de ___ final de março?
Ouro (GC) acima de ___ final de março?
$162,209 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
US$ 7.000
<1%
US$6.500
<1%
US$ 6.000
<1%
US$ 5.800
<1%
$5.600
<1%
US$ 5.400
1%
US$5.200
2%
US$ 5.000
3%
US$ 4.800
7%
US$ 4.600
28%
US$ 4.400
77%
$4.000
95%
$162,209 Vol.
US$ 7.000
$16,314 Vol.
<1%
US$6.500
$5,806 Vol.
<1%
US$ 6.000
$18,080 Vol.
<1%
US$ 5.800
$30,820 Vol.
<1%
$5.600
$4,847 Vol.
<1%
US$ 5.400
$43,994 Vol.
1%
US$5.200
$4,403 Vol.
2%
US$ 5.000
$10,030 Vol.
3%
US$ 4.800
$11,188 Vol.
7%
US$ 4.600
$6,487 Vol.
28%
US$ 4.400
$2,096 Vol.
77%
$4.000
$8,143 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Gold (GC) end-of-March positioning reflects a tug-of-war between safe-haven inflows from escalating US-Iran tensions, which propelled spot prices above $4,500 briefly this week, and counterpressures from the Fed's March 18 FOMC statement holding fed funds at 3.50%-3.75% while dot plots imply steady rates into mid-2026 amid sticky inflation. January PCE rose 2.8% year-over-year, bolstering real yields with 10-year Treasuries at 4.44% and DXY near 100.2, capping gold's rally near $4,460/oz. The March 2026 futures (GCH26) settled at $4,492 on March 27; final days' flows and any Middle East flare-ups could sway resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$162,209Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Gold (GC) end-of-March positioning reflects a tug-of-war between safe-haven inflows from escalating US-Iran tensions, which propelled spot prices above $4,500 briefly this week, and counterpressures from the Fed's March 18 FOMC statement holding fed funds at 3.50%-3.75% while dot plots imply steady rates into mid-2026 amid sticky inflation. January PCE rose 2.8% year-over-year, bolstering real yields with 10-year Treasuries at 4.44% and DXY near 100.2, capping gold's rally near $4,460/oz. The March 2026 futures (GCH26) settled at $4,492 on March 27; final days' flows and any Middle East flare-ups could sway resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$162,209Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Gold (GC) end-of-March positioning reflects a tug-of-war between safe-haven inflows from escalating US-Iran tensions, which propelled spot prices above $4,500 briefly this week, and counterpressures from the Fed's March 18 FOMC statement holding fed funds at 3.50%-3.75% while dot plots imply steady rates into mid-2026 amid sticky inflation. January PCE rose 2.8% year-over-year, bolstering real yields with 10-year Treasuries at 4.44% and DXY near 100.2, capping gold's rally near $4,460/oz. The March 2026 futures (GCH26) settled at $4,492 on March 27; final days' flows and any Middle East flare-ups could sway resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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