Trader sentiment for Gold (GC) futures end-of-March settlement reflects a tug-of-war between escalating Middle East tensions—particularly US-Iran frictions in the Strait of Hormuz—and macroeconomic headwinds from a strengthening US dollar (DXY at 100.2) and climbing 10-year Treasury yields (4.42%). Gold spot prices rallied over 3% to $4,536 on March 27 amid dip-buying and safe-haven flows, partially recovering a 10-15% monthly plunge triggered by an oil shock and hawkish rate expectations. Central bank purchases and ETF inflows bolster support above $4,400, but position unwinds loom ahead of the March 31 CME active-month close. Volatility persists as war risks vie with real yield pressures for dominance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoOuro (GC) acima de ___ final de março?
Ouro (GC) acima de ___ final de março?
$163,569 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
US$ 7.000
<1%
US$6.500
<1%
US$ 6.000
<1%
US$ 5.800
<1%
$5.600
<1%
US$ 5.400
1%
US$5.200
2%
US$ 5.000
3%
US$ 4.800
6%
US$ 4.600
34%
US$ 4.400
74%
$4.000
96%
$163,569 Vol.
US$ 7.000
$16,314 Vol.
<1%
US$6.500
$5,812 Vol.
<1%
US$ 6.000
$18,080 Vol.
<1%
US$ 5.800
$30,820 Vol.
<1%
$5.600
$4,848 Vol.
<1%
US$ 5.400
$43,994 Vol.
1%
US$5.200
$4,403 Vol.
2%
US$ 5.000
$10,442 Vol.
3%
US$ 4.800
$11,835 Vol.
6%
US$ 4.600
$6,537 Vol.
34%
US$ 4.400
$2,148 Vol.
74%
$4.000
$8,335 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader sentiment for Gold (GC) futures end-of-March settlement reflects a tug-of-war between escalating Middle East tensions—particularly US-Iran frictions in the Strait of Hormuz—and macroeconomic headwinds from a strengthening US dollar (DXY at 100.2) and climbing 10-year Treasury yields (4.42%). Gold spot prices rallied over 3% to $4,536 on March 27 amid dip-buying and safe-haven flows, partially recovering a 10-15% monthly plunge triggered by an oil shock and hawkish rate expectations. Central bank purchases and ETF inflows bolster support above $4,400, but position unwinds loom ahead of the March 31 CME active-month close. Volatility persists as war risks vie with real yield pressures for dominance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$163,569Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader sentiment for Gold (GC) futures end-of-March settlement reflects a tug-of-war between escalating Middle East tensions—particularly US-Iran frictions in the Strait of Hormuz—and macroeconomic headwinds from a strengthening US dollar (DXY at 100.2) and climbing 10-year Treasury yields (4.42%). Gold spot prices rallied over 3% to $4,536 on March 27 amid dip-buying and safe-haven flows, partially recovering a 10-15% monthly plunge triggered by an oil shock and hawkish rate expectations. Central bank purchases and ETF inflows bolster support above $4,400, but position unwinds loom ahead of the March 31 CME active-month close. Volatility persists as war risks vie with real yield pressures for dominance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$163,569Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for Gold (GC) futures end-of-March settlement reflects a tug-of-war between escalating Middle East tensions—particularly US-Iran frictions in the Strait of Hormuz—and macroeconomic headwinds from a strengthening US dollar (DXY at 100.2) and climbing 10-year Treasury yields (4.42%). Gold spot prices rallied over 3% to $4,536 on March 27 amid dip-buying and safe-haven flows, partially recovering a 10-15% monthly plunge triggered by an oil shock and hawkish rate expectations. Central bank purchases and ETF inflows bolster support above $4,400, but position unwinds loom ahead of the March 31 CME active-month close. Volatility persists as war risks vie with real yield pressures for dominance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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