Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability for Gold (GC) futures closing above $2,600 by end of June, propelled by heightened Federal Reserve rate cut expectations following softer May CPI data at 3.3% YoY headline. Spot gold holds near $2,645, buoyed by declining 10-year real yields below 2% and a weakening USD index at 104.5, amplifying its safe-haven appeal amid Middle East tensions. COMEX GC June futures trade at $2,652, reflecting bullish positioning with open interest up 5%. Watch the June 12 FOMC for dot plot signals and June 28 PCE release—hotter prints could cap upside via yield spikes—while central bank purchases provide sustained support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoOuro (GC) acima de ___ final de junho?
Ouro (GC) acima de ___ final de junho?
$37,096 Vol.
US$8.000
2%
US$7.000
8%
US$6.500
5%
US$ 6.200
9%
US$ 6.000
10%
US$ 5.800
22%
US$ 5.600
30%
US$ 5.400
27%
US$5.200
40%
US$5.000
38%
US$4.800
47%
$4.600
51%
$37,096 Vol.
US$8.000
2%
US$7.000
8%
US$6.500
5%
US$ 6.200
9%
US$ 6.000
10%
US$ 5.800
22%
US$ 5.600
30%
US$ 5.400
27%
US$5.200
40%
US$5.000
38%
US$4.800
47%
$4.600
51%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability for Gold (GC) futures closing above $2,600 by end of June, propelled by heightened Federal Reserve rate cut expectations following softer May CPI data at 3.3% YoY headline. Spot gold holds near $2,645, buoyed by declining 10-year real yields below 2% and a weakening USD index at 104.5, amplifying its safe-haven appeal amid Middle East tensions. COMEX GC June futures trade at $2,652, reflecting bullish positioning with open interest up 5%. Watch the June 12 FOMC for dot plot signals and June 28 PCE release—hotter prints could cap upside via yield spikes—while central bank purchases provide sustained support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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