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Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Market icon

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 35.6%

França 13.3%

Dinamarca 10.1%

Austrália 6.8%

Polymarket

$51,843,173 Vol.

Finlândia 35.6%

França 13.3%

Dinamarca 10.1%

Austrália 6.8%

Polymarket

$51,843,173 Vol.

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Finlândia

$1,840,465 Vol.

36%

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França

$1,395,118 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$910,989 Vol.

10%

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Austrália

$1,184,893 Vol.

7%

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Grécia

$1,294,270 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,216,524 Vol.

4%

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Suécia

$930,906 Vol.

4%

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Itália

$1,506,740 Vol.

2%

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Ucrânia

$1,102,972 Vol.

2%

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Romênia

$881,253 Vol.

2%

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Chipre

$1,113,077 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,005,614 Vol.

1%

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Chéquia

$784,536 Vol.

1%

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Bulgária

$1,106,318 Vol.

1%

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Alemanha

$882,223 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,021,298 Vol.

1%

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Moldávia

$1,084,450 Vol.

1%

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Croácia

$938,636 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$715,021 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,232,201 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,275,683 Vol.

1%

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Suíça

$2,211,789 Vol.

1%

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Polônia

$1,942,020 Vol.

1%

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Albânia

$1,977,618 Vol.

<1%

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Estônia

$2,481,465 Vol.

<1%

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Letônia

$2,058,016 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,101,558 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,267,333 Vol.

<1%

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Armênia

$2,045,848 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijão

$2,419,998 Vol.

<1%

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Geórgia

$2,146,594 Vol.

<1%

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Lituânia

$1,551,899 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,648,374 Vol.

<1%

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Sérvia

$768,720 Vol.

<1%

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Áustria

$1,809,613 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35.6% implied probability following its dominant UMK victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the runner-up's points with broad jury and televote appeal, bolstered by recent chart climbs and OGAE France's 12 points last week. France's Monroe with "Regarde!" has climbed to 13.3% as a jury vote co-favorite alongside Australia, per March 22 odds, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" holds 10.1% on streaming buzz and top chart placements. Greece ties Australia at 6.8% amid televote strength, but with national finals ongoing through April and Vienna semis looming May 12-14, trader consensus reflects early momentum amid volatile precursor signals like guild-style jury previews.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35.6% implied probability following its dominant UMK victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the runner-up's points with broad jury and televote appeal, bolstered by recent chart climbs and OGAE France's 12 points last week. France's Monroe with "Regarde!" has climbed to 13.3% as a jury vote co-favorite alongside Australia, per March 22 odds, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" holds 10.1% on streaming buzz and top chart placements. Greece ties Australia at 6.8% amid televote strength, but with national finals ongoing through April and Vienna semis looming May 12-14, trader consensus reflects early momentum amid volatile precursor signals like guild-style jury previews.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35.6% implied probability following its dominant UMK victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the runner-up's points with broad jury and televote appeal, bolstered by recent chart climbs and OGAE France's 12 points last week. France's Monroe with "Regarde!" has climbed to 13.3% as a jury vote co-favorite alongside Australia, per March 22 odds, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" holds 10.1% on streaming buzz and top chart placements. Greece ties Australia at 6.8% amid televote strength, but with national finals ongoing through April and Vienna semis looming May 12-14, trader consensus reflects early momentum amid volatile precursor signals like guild-style jury previews.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35.6% implied probability following its dominant UMK victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the runner-up's points with broad jury and televote appeal, bolstered by recent chart climbs and OGAE France's 12 points last week. France's Monroe with "Regarde!" has climbed to 13.3% as a jury vote co-favorite alongside Australia, per March 22 odds, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" holds 10.1% on streaming buzz and top chart placements. Greece ties Australia at 6.8% amid televote strength, but with national finals ongoing through April and Vienna semis looming May 12-14, trader consensus reflects early momentum amid volatile precursor signals like guild-style jury previews.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 36%, followed by "França" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $51.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.