Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, with 240-259 leading at 17.5% implied probability, mirroring his recent 35-40 daily average amid viral political jabs and Grok promotions. XTracker data shows 77 posts March 30-April 1 (39/day pace), extending the prior week's 220-239 resolution, fueled by high-engagement replies on immigration, free speech, and tech optimism that amplify his cultural footprint. The razor-thin margins hinge on swing factors like SpaceX launches or DOGE policy announcements sparking reply chains, versus lulls during travel; with six days left, breaking news could push toward 300+ upsets or sub-240 if focus shifts offline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado240-259 18%
260-279 17%
280-299 16%
220-239 14%
$4,172,477 Vol.
$4,172,477 Vol.
7 abr 2026
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
1%
200-219
6%
220-239
14%
240-259
18%
260-279
17%
280-299
16%
300-319
13%
320-339
8%
340-359
6%
360-379
4%
380-399
3%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 18%
260-279 17%
280-299 16%
220-239 14%
$4,172,477 Vol.
$4,172,477 Vol.
7 abr 2026
20-39
$2,595,945 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$68,667 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$58,577 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$91,764 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$51,327 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$58,184 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$67,397 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$61,152 Vol.
1%
180-199
$38,657 Vol.
1%
200-219
$37,326 Vol.
6%
220-239
$54,458 Vol.
14%
240-259
$44,147 Vol.
18%
260-279
$46,789 Vol.
17%
280-299
$36,910 Vol.
16%
300-319
$34,005 Vol.
13%
320-339
$25,196 Vol.
8%
340-359
$27,689 Vol.
6%
360-379
$27,949 Vol.
4%
380-399
$32,913 Vol.
3%
400-419
$24,871 Vol.
2%
420-439
$27,562 Vol.
1%
440-459
$21,937 Vol.
1%
460-479
$21,103 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$19,316 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$28,930 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$27,365 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$31,879 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$45,986 Vol.
<1%
580+
$88,621 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, with 240-259 leading at 17.5% implied probability, mirroring his recent 35-40 daily average amid viral political jabs and Grok promotions. XTracker data shows 77 posts March 30-April 1 (39/day pace), extending the prior week's 220-239 resolution, fueled by high-engagement replies on immigration, free speech, and tech optimism that amplify his cultural footprint. The razor-thin margins hinge on swing factors like SpaceX launches or DOGE policy announcements sparking reply chains, versus lulls during travel; with six days left, breaking news could push toward 300+ upsets or sub-240 if focus shifts offline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,172,477Data de Término
7 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, with 240-259 leading at 17.5% implied probability, mirroring his recent 35-40 daily average amid viral political jabs and Grok promotions. XTracker data shows 77 posts March 30-April 1 (39/day pace), extending the prior week's 220-239 resolution, fueled by high-engagement replies on immigration, free speech, and tech optimism that amplify his cultural footprint. The razor-thin margins hinge on swing factors like SpaceX launches or DOGE policy announcements sparking reply chains, versus lulls during travel; with six days left, breaking news could push toward 300+ upsets or sub-240 if focus shifts offline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,172,477Data de Término
7 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, with 240-259 leading at 17.5% implied probability, mirroring his recent 35-40 daily average amid viral political jabs and Grok promotions. XTracker data shows 77 posts March 30-April 1 (39/day pace), extending the prior week's 220-239 resolution, fueled by high-engagement replies on immigration, free speech, and tech optimism that amplify his cultural footprint. The razor-thin margins hinge on swing factors like SpaceX launches or DOGE policy announcements sparking reply chains, versus lulls during travel; with six days left, breaking news could push toward 300+ upsets or sub-240 if focus shifts offline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions