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Vencedor do Survivor 50

Market icon

Vencedor do Survivor 50

Aubry Bracco 87%

Cirie Fields 8.6%

Rizo Velovic 1.4%

Joe Hunter 1.2%

Polymarket

$839,235 Vol.

Aubry Bracco 87%

Cirie Fields 8.6%

Rizo Velovic 1.4%

Joe Hunter 1.2%

Polymarket

$839,235 Vol.

Aubry Bracco

$96,867 Vol.

87%

Cirie Fields

$30,553 Vol.

9%

Rizo Velovic

$68,360 Vol.

1%

Joe Hunter

$48,434 Vol.

1%

Jonathan Young

$33,498 Vol.

1%

Ozzy Lusth

$49,535 Vol.

1%

Dee Valladares

$61,322 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin "Coach" Wade

$19,764 Vol.

<1%

Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick

$30,085 Vol.

<1%

Christian Hubicki

$54,546 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Davis

$39,007 Vol.

<1%

Emily Flippen

$23,423 Vol.

<1%

Jenna Lewis-Dougherty

$27,986 Vol.

<1%

Mike White

$48,231 Vol.

<1%

Angelina Keeley

$16,716 Vol.

<1%

Genevieve Mushaluk

$22,093 Vol.

<1%

Kamilla Karthigesu

$34,970 Vol.

<1%

Quintavius "Q" Burdette

$27,804 Vol.

<1%

Chrissy Hofbeck

$24,102 Vol.

<1%

Rick Devens

$23,178 Vol.

<1%

Savannah Louie

$22,860 Vol.

<1%

Colby Donaldson

$20,658 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Nicole Ervin

$15,244 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Fraser

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Trader consensus prices Aubry Bracco at an overwhelming 87% implied probability to win Survivor 50, driven by her masterful navigation of Episode 6's Blood Moon twist—a chaotic merge event splitting the 17 remaining players into groups for a historic triple elimination. In her magenta group, Aubry leveraged her old-school alliance with Joe Hunter, Rick Devens, and Christian Hubicki to orchestrate Genevieve Mushaluk's 4-0 boot while clutching a hidden immunity idol, cementing her strategic dominance echoed from Kaôh Rōng runner-up run. Cirie Fields holds 8.6% as a distant second for her teal-group pivot to oust injured Colby Donaldson 4-0, showcasing her alliance-building prowess. Prediction markets' spot-on elimination calls through prior episodes fuel this conviction amid 14 legends left, though immunity challenges and blindsides loom before the accelerated day-26 finale.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$839,235
Data de Término
20 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Trader consensus prices Aubry Bracco at an overwhelming 87% implied probability to win Survivor 50, driven by her masterful navigation of Episode 6's Blood Moon twist—a chaotic merge event splitting the 17 remaining players into groups for a historic triple elimination. In her magenta group, Aubry leveraged her old-school alliance with Joe Hunter, Rick Devens, and Christian Hubicki to orchestrate Genevieve Mushaluk's 4-0 boot while clutching a hidden immunity idol, cementing her strategic dominance echoed from Kaôh Rōng runner-up run. Cirie Fields holds 8.6% as a distant second for her teal-group pivot to oust injured Colby Donaldson 4-0, showcasing her alliance-building prowess. Prediction markets' spot-on elimination calls through prior episodes fuel this conviction amid 14 legends left, though immunity challenges and blindsides loom before the accelerated day-26 finale.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$839,235
Data de Término
20 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Survivor 50" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aubry Bracco" at 87%, followed by "Cirie Fields" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Survivor 50" has generated $839.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Survivor 50," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Survivor 50" is "Aubry Bracco" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cirie Fields" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Survivor 50" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.