Trader consensus prices Aubry Bracco at an overwhelming 87% implied probability to win Survivor 50, driven by her masterful navigation of Episode 6's Blood Moon twist—a chaotic merge event splitting the 17 remaining players into groups for a historic triple elimination. In her magenta group, Aubry leveraged her old-school alliance with Joe Hunter, Rick Devens, and Christian Hubicki to orchestrate Genevieve Mushaluk's 4-0 boot while clutching a hidden immunity idol, cementing her strategic dominance echoed from Kaôh Rōng runner-up run. Cirie Fields holds 8.6% as a distant second for her teal-group pivot to oust injured Colby Donaldson 4-0, showcasing her alliance-building prowess. Prediction markets' spot-on elimination calls through prior episodes fuel this conviction amid 14 legends left, though immunity challenges and blindsides loom before the accelerated day-26 finale.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor do Survivor 50
Vencedor do Survivor 50
Aubry Bracco 87%
Cirie Fields 8.6%
Rizo Velovic 1.4%
Joe Hunter 1.2%
$839,235 Vol.
$839,235 Vol.
Aubry Bracco
87%
Cirie Fields
9%
Rizo Velovic
1%
Joe Hunter
1%
Jonathan Young
1%
Ozzy Lusth
1%
Dee Valladares
<1%
Benjamin "Coach" Wade
<1%
Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick
<1%
Christian Hubicki
<1%
Charlie Davis
<1%
Emily Flippen
<1%
Jenna Lewis-Dougherty
<1%
Mike White
<1%
Angelina Keeley
<1%
Genevieve Mushaluk
<1%
Kamilla Karthigesu
<1%
Quintavius "Q" Burdette
<1%
Chrissy Hofbeck
<1%
Rick Devens
<1%
Savannah Louie
<1%
Colby Donaldson
<1%
Tiffany Nicole Ervin
<1%
Kyle Fraser
<1%
Aubry Bracco 87%
Cirie Fields 8.6%
Rizo Velovic 1.4%
Joe Hunter 1.2%
$839,235 Vol.
$839,235 Vol.
Aubry Bracco
87%
Cirie Fields
9%
Rizo Velovic
1%
Joe Hunter
1%
Jonathan Young
1%
Ozzy Lusth
1%
Dee Valladares
<1%
Benjamin "Coach" Wade
<1%
Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick
<1%
Christian Hubicki
<1%
Charlie Davis
<1%
Emily Flippen
<1%
Jenna Lewis-Dougherty
<1%
Mike White
<1%
Angelina Keeley
<1%
Genevieve Mushaluk
<1%
Kamilla Karthigesu
<1%
Quintavius "Q" Burdette
<1%
Chrissy Hofbeck
<1%
Rick Devens
<1%
Savannah Louie
<1%
Colby Donaldson
<1%
Tiffany Nicole Ervin
<1%
Kyle Fraser
<1%
If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Aubry Bracco at an overwhelming 87% implied probability to win Survivor 50, driven by her masterful navigation of Episode 6's Blood Moon twist—a chaotic merge event splitting the 17 remaining players into groups for a historic triple elimination. In her magenta group, Aubry leveraged her old-school alliance with Joe Hunter, Rick Devens, and Christian Hubicki to orchestrate Genevieve Mushaluk's 4-0 boot while clutching a hidden immunity idol, cementing her strategic dominance echoed from Kaôh Rōng runner-up run. Cirie Fields holds 8.6% as a distant second for her teal-group pivot to oust injured Colby Donaldson 4-0, showcasing her alliance-building prowess. Prediction markets' spot-on elimination calls through prior episodes fuel this conviction amid 14 legends left, though immunity challenges and blindsides loom before the accelerated day-26 finale.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions