Trader consensus on Polymarket has solidified at a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from March 28-30, 2026, reflecting real-time tallies from verified trackers like xTracker that captured his moderated activity over the three-day window ending 12 PM ET March 30. A sharp slowdown to just 13 posts on March 29—down from 40-80 daily averages and the prior period's 76 tweets (March 26-28)—anchored the lower range, amid reports of Musk catching limited sleep amid his relentless posting rhythm. This skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom leaves negligible room for higher bins at 0.1%, with upset scenarios limited to rare oracle disputes over countable posts (main feed, quotes, reposts; excluding standard replies). Resolution imminent, barring counting anomalies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado40-64 100.0%
Menos de 40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$3,580,532 Vol.
$3,580,532 Vol.
30 mar 2026
Menos de 40
Não
40-64
Sim
65-89
Não
90-114
Não
115-139
Não
140-164
Não
165-189
Não
190-214
Não
215-239
Não
240+
Não
40-64 100.0%
Menos de 40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$3,580,532 Vol.
$3,580,532 Vol.
30 mar 2026
Menos de 40
$784,906 Vol.
Não
40-64
$630,374 Vol.
Sim
65-89
$701,370 Vol.
Não
90-114
$544,028 Vol.
Não
115-139
$213,204 Vol.
Não
140-164
$151,740 Vol.
Não
165-189
$146,422 Vol.
Não
190-214
$101,749 Vol.
Não
215-239
$146,770 Vol.
Não
240+
$159,970 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has solidified at a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from March 28-30, 2026, reflecting real-time tallies from verified trackers like xTracker that captured his moderated activity over the three-day window ending 12 PM ET March 30. A sharp slowdown to just 13 posts on March 29—down from 40-80 daily averages and the prior period's 76 tweets (March 26-28)—anchored the lower range, amid reports of Musk catching limited sleep amid his relentless posting rhythm. This skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom leaves negligible room for higher bins at 0.1%, with upset scenarios limited to rare oracle disputes over countable posts (main feed, quotes, reposts; excluding standard replies). Resolution imminent, barring counting anomalies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$3,580,532Data de Término
30 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has solidified at a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from March 28-30, 2026, reflecting real-time tallies from verified trackers like xTracker that captured his moderated activity over the three-day window ending 12 PM ET March 30. A sharp slowdown to just 13 posts on March 29—down from 40-80 daily averages and the prior period's 76 tweets (March 26-28)—anchored the lower range, amid reports of Musk catching limited sleep amid his relentless posting rhythm. This skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom leaves negligible room for higher bins at 0.1%, with upset scenarios limited to rare oracle disputes over countable posts (main feed, quotes, reposts; excluding standard replies). Resolution imminent, barring counting anomalies.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,580,532Data de Término
30 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket has solidified at a 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from March 28-30, 2026, reflecting real-time tallies from verified trackers like xTracker that captured his moderated activity over the three-day window ending 12 PM ET March 30. A sharp slowdown to just 13 posts on March 29—down from 40-80 daily averages and the prior period's 76 tweets (March 26-28)—anchored the lower range, amid reports of Musk catching limited sleep amid his relentless posting rhythm. This skin-in-the-game crowd wisdom leaves negligible room for higher bins at 0.1%, with upset scenarios limited to rare oracle disputes over countable posts (main feed, quotes, reposts; excluding standard replies). Resolution imminent, barring counting anomalies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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