Market icon
Política·Trump X Al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

Market icon
Política·Trump X Al-Sharaa

Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

16% acaso
Polymarket

$55,634 Vol.

Sim

16% acaso
Polymarket

$55,634 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Ahmed al-Sharaa's recent high-level diplomatic engagements, including a March 31, 2026, meeting with the UK Prime Minister in Downing Street, an audience with King Charles, and a Chatham House address affirming Syria's neutrality amid the Iran conflict, underscore growing international legitimacy for his transitional government. These developments follow a ceasefire with the Syrian Democratic Forces in January and praise from US President Trump for operations against SDF holdouts, signaling consolidated control over key territories. With no major internal challenges or coup attempts reported in over a year of transition, and plans for elections in five years, trader consensus reflects low risk of ouster by year-end, prioritizing domestic reforms amid foreign policy gains.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$55,634
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Ahmed al-Sharaa's recent high-level diplomatic engagements, including a March 31, 2026, meeting with the UK Prime Minister in Downing Street, an audience with King Charles, and a Chatham House address affirming Syria's neutrality amid the Iran conflict, underscore growing international legitimacy for his transitional government. These developments follow a ceasefire with the Syrian Democratic Forces in January and praise from US President Trump for operations against SDF holdouts, signaling consolidated control over key territories. With no major internal challenges or coup attempts reported in over a year of transition, and plans for elections in five years, trader consensus reflects low risk of ouster by year-end, prioritizing domestic reforms amid foreign policy gains.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$55,634
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ahmed al-Sharaa deixará de ser líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" has generated $55.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" is "Ahmed al-Sharaa deixará de ser líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ahmed al-Sharaa sairá como líder da Síria até 31 de dezembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.