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US Jobs predictions & odds

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How many jobs added in May?

How many jobs added in May?

37%

50k – 100k

$3.0K Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

32%

5.0%

$426K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

14

Ends in 7 months

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

53%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$3.7K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 4?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 4?

99%

$735

$711 Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

49%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

130

Ends in 7 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 3?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 3?

100%

$740

$54.0K Vol.

$52.2K today

$82.7K Liq.

Ends in 44 minutes

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

38%

Keith Sonderling

$45.2K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

8%

$6.6K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

44%

800–900B

$21.1K Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in June 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in June 2026?

76%

↓ $304

$10.3K Vol.

$53.4K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

56%

↓ $740

$56.7K Vol.

$36.9K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

80%

$2.8K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

90%

Up

$25.4K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

61%

June 30, 2027

$490K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

31

Ends in over 1 year

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

-

$2.6K Vol.

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

96%

Shadowrocket

$6.3K Vol.

$20.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

23%

9

$2M Vol.

$93.6K Liq.

34

Ends in 7 months

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of June 1 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of June 1 2026?

48%

↓ $750

$92.0K Vol.

$44.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

44%

$13.8K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

White House # posts May 29 - June 5, 2026?

White House # posts May 29 - June 5, 2026?

61%

160-179

$14.4K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Jobs.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for US Jobs that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How many jobs added in May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 40% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Jobs predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.