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US Jobs predictions & odds

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How many jobs added in April?

How many jobs added in April?

32%

50k – 100k

$21.4K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

39%

5.0%

$379K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

April Unemployment Rate

April Unemployment Rate

37%

4.3%

$67.2K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

41%

$4.6K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 23 days

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

34%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$3.2K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 7?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 7?

$755

+ 11 more

$83.4K Vol.

$82.8K today

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 8?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 8?

97%

$710

$776 Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends in about 21 hours

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

77%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

57%

Keith Sonderling

$40.6K Vol.

$68.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

10%

$6.2K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

38%

800–900B

$21.0K Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

56%

↑ $296

$58.8K Vol.

$21.4K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

73%

↑ $740

$175K Vol.

$54.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

57%

160-179

$43.7K Vol.

$30.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

White House # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

White House # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

35%

140-159

$9.8K Vol.

$56.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in May 2026?

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in May 2026?

81%

↓ $76

$36.8K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

82%

$2.7K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

44%

7

$1M Vol.

$81.2K Liq.

30

Ends in 8 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

72%

December 31, 2027

$473K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

33

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

-

$2.6K Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for US Jobs that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How many jobs added in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major US official out by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Jobs predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.