This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding position in the AI accelerator market, with roughly 80-85% share amid explosive data center demand, underpins the near-certain market consensus that it will hold the top market-cap spot at July's end. Strong Blackwell platform adoption and sustained hyperscaler spending have offset periodic valuation pressures from AI buildout cost concerns, allowing NVIDIA to reclaim and defend leadership over Apple and Microsoft despite brief July fluctuations. Traders view the company's execution edge and expanding total addressable market as durable through month-end. Potential disruptors include sharper-than-expected competitor gains from custom silicon or an abrupt slowdown in enterprise AI budgets, though current momentum makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
NVIDIA's commanding position in the AI accelerator market, with roughly 80-85% share amid explosive data center demand, underpins the near-certain market consensus that it will hold the top market-cap spot at July's end. Strong Blackwell platform adoption and sustained hyperscaler spending have offset periodic valuation pressures from AI buildout cost concerns, allowing NVIDIA to reclaim and defend leadership over Apple and Microsoft despite brief July fluctuations. Traders view the company's execution edge and expanding total addressable market as durable through month-end. Potential disruptors include sharper-than-expected competitor gains from custom silicon or an abrupt slowdown in enterprise AI budgets, though current momentum makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft Stock Surges 15% in Historic Single-Day Market Cap Gain
Microsoft plunges to 0%23%
Following a strong Q4 FY2026 earnings report with Azure crossing $100 billion in annual revenue, Microsoft’s stock surged over 15%, adding approximately $450 billion in market value, the largest single-day gain in history.
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft posts historic market cap surge after earnings report
On July 30, 2026, Microsoft’s stock surged over 15%, adding nearly $500 billion in market capitalization in a single day following a strong earnings report that alleviated investor concerns about AI investments and cash flow.
Jul 30 2026
Apple Hits $5 Trillion Market Cap Amid Strategic Pricing Decisions
Apple's market capitalization surpassed $5 trillion driven by stable iPhone pricing and increased shipments, marking it as the second company ever to reach this milestone, shortly before Tim Cook's final earnings call as CEO.
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft Reports Strong Q4 FY26 Results, Stock Jumps Nearly 9%
Microsoft's Q4 FY2026 earnings beat expectations with Azure revenue crossing $100 billion annually, leading to a nearly 9% stock price increase and reinforcing investor confidence in AI and cloud growth.
Jul 30 2026
Apple CEO Tim Cook's final earnings call marks leadership transition
Apple’s Q3 2026 earnings call on July 30, 2026, was Tim Cook’s last as CEO, marking a significant leadership transition to John Ternus and influencing investor confidence and stock valuation.
Jul 29 2026
Nvidia shares fall nearly 5% amid market challenges and AI investment scrutiny
NVIDIA drops to 9%13%
On July 29, 2026, Nvidia’s shares dropped nearly 5% to $196.51 amid concerns about the sustainability of its AI capital expenditures and market valuation, reflecting investor caution despite strong revenue growth in AI data center chips.
Jul 29 2026
Microsoft reports strong Q4 FY26 earnings, shares jump
Microsoft's Q4 FY26 earnings beat expectations with Azure crossing $100 billion annual revenue, leading to a $260 billion market cap increase and a stock price rally despite sector volatility.
Jul 29 2026
Amazon Expected to Raise 2026 Capital Expenditure Guidance After Alphabet's Increase
Amazon plunges to 0%22%
Following Alphabet's increase in full-year 2026 capex guidance, Amazon is anticipated to raise its own AI-related capital expenditure forecast during its Q2 earnings report on July 30, reflecting ongoing investment in AI infrastructure.
Jul 28 2026
Apple briefly hits $5 trillion market cap amid strong iPhone demand
Apple surges to 90%20%
Apple's market capitalization briefly surpassed $5 trillion on July 28, 2026, driven by strong iPhone 17 demand, a device-first AI strategy, and regulatory approval in China, positioning Apple as a close competitor to Nvidia for the largest company title.
Jul 28 2026
Apple briefly surpasses $5 trillion market cap, becoming second company to do so
Apple plunges to 25%54%
Apple's market capitalization briefly exceeded $5 trillion on July 28, 2026, driven by strong iPhone demand, strategic pricing decisions, and anticipation of CEO Tim Cook's final earnings call. This milestone marked Apple as only the second company after NVIDIA to reach this valuation.
Jul 27 2026
Apple Reclaims Title as World's Most Valuable Company with $4.94 Trillion Market Cap
Apple jumps to 20%8%
Apple's stock rose to a new all-time high, pushing its market capitalization to approximately $4.94 trillion, briefly surpassing Nvidia and reclaiming the top spot due to strong iPhone demand and a device-first AI strategy.
Jul 27 2026
Apple stock surges amid $5 trillion market cap milestone anticipation
Apple surges to 76%53%
Apple's stock surged on July 27, 2026, driven by investor excitement ahead of the company briefly crossing the $5 trillion market cap mark and the upcoming CEO transition.
Jul 27 2026
Apple reclaims title of world's most valuable company from Nvidia
Apple surges to 79%55%
On July 27, 2026, Apple’s market cap rose to roughly $4.94 trillion, surpassing Nvidia’s $4.83 trillion, driven by investor preference for companies with restrained AI spending. This marked a shift in leadership after Nvidia had held the top spot since June 2025.
Jul 27 2026
Apple reclaims world's largest market cap with record closing highs
Apple dips to 25%4%
On July 27, 2026, Apple closed at an all-time high, lifting its market capitalization to approximately $4.93–$4.95 trillion, briefly surpassing NVIDIA and ending NVIDIA’s 272-day run as the largest U.S. company by market value.
Jul 23 2026
Alphabet stock slides 7% after raising 2026 capital expenditure guidance
Alphabet drops to 4%8%
On July 23, 2026, Alphabet’s stock dropped 7.13% to $317.69 after the company raised its AI-related capital spending forecast for 2026, signaling aggressive investment ahead. Investors reacted negatively due to concerns over the impact of high AI spending on profitability.
Jul 23 2026
Tesla stock plunges 14.5% after Q2 earnings miss and margin concerns
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Following Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings release, the stock dropped sharply due to a miss on earnings per share and concerns over AI and robotics spending impacting profitability, wiping out significant market value.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla Q2 2026 Earnings Miss Triggers Massive Market Cap Wipeout
Tesla plunges to 0%78%
Tesla reported record revenue and deliveries but missed earnings expectations due to high costs from AI and robotics investments, causing a 14.5% stock price drop and a $140 billion market cap loss in one day.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla stock plunges 14.5% after Q2 earnings miss and margin concerns
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla’s shares dropped sharply on July 23, 2026, following a Q2 earnings report that showed strong revenue but significant margin compression due to AI and robotics investments, leading to a loss of over $140 billion in market cap in one day.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla reports Q2 earnings with revenue growth but profit decline
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings showed 16% revenue growth to $22.4 billion but a 57% drop in operating profit, leading to a $200 billion market cap decline amid increased AI and robotics investments, weakening its position in the market.
Jul 21 2026
Nvidia reports strong Q2 revenue guidance and AI chip demand
Nvidia's stock traded near record highs with a market cap around $5.05 trillion, supported by robust AI infrastructure demand and $91 billion revenue guidance for Q2. This reinforced Nvidia's position as the world's largest company by market cap in July 2026.
Jul 18 2026
Alphabet maintains strong revenue growth but faces high capex pressure
Alphabet plunges to 0%42%
Alphabet reported $109.9 billion in Q1 2026 revenue with 63% cloud growth, but increased AI infrastructure spending raised capital expenditures to $180-190 billion for 2026, pressuring free cash flow and stock performance.
Jul 16 2026
Chinese regulators approve Apple Intelligence features in China
Apple surges to 38%26%
Chinese regulatory clearance for Apple's AI features with local partners boosted investor confidence, contributing to Apple's stock rally and market cap growth approaching $5 trillion.
Jul 16 2026
Jim Cramer highlights Broadcom as market turn indicator amid AI spending
Broadcom plunges to 0%23%
Jim Cramer identified Broadcom as a bellwether stock for hyperscaler AI spending and market direction in early July 2026, influencing investor sentiment and price movements in the semiconductor sector.
Jul 14 2026
Nvidia loses nearly $1 trillion in market cap over two months
Between mid-May and early July 2026, Nvidia's market cap declined by nearly $1 trillion, reflecting a significant correction after a peak valuation of approximately $5.5 trillion, impacting its stock price and market position temporarily.
Jul 14 2026
Saudi Aramco Base Oil hits 52-week high amid strong demand
On July 14, 2026, Saudi Aramco Base Oil stock reached a 52-week high after a 7-day winning streak, reflecting strong demand and positive market sentiment despite broader oil price volatility.
Jul 9 2026
Jim Cramer highlights Broadcom as market indicator for tech sector
Broadcom plunges to 0%23%
Jim Cramer identified Broadcom as a bellwether semiconductor stock signaling market turns, with its Q2 2026 earnings and hyperscaler AI spending trends closely watched by investors for sector health indications.
Jul 6 2026
Saudi Aramco Cuts Oil Prices Amid Market Weakness
Saudi Aramco drops to 0%13%
Saudi Aramco announced its largest oil price cut in decades, lowering Arab Light oil prices by $11 a barrel for Asian buyers, reflecting increased global supply and heightened competition, impacting its stock price and market cap.
Jul 6 2026
Apple stock rises on anticipation of iPhone 18 release and CEO transition
Apple drops to 12%6%
Apple's stock rose over 13% year-to-date by early July 2026, fueled by strong earnings in 2025, upcoming iPhone 18 launch, and Tim Cook's planned CEO departure, boosting investor optimism.
Jul 2 2026
US labor market shows signs of cooling in June 2026
The US economy added only 57,000 jobs in June 2026, below expectations, signaling a potential weakening labor market that could influence Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and broader economic conditions affecting market valuations.
Jul 2 2026
Tesla reports strong Q2 deliveries but warns on AI spending costs
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla announced record vehicle deliveries in Q2 2026, but heavy AI and robotics investments pressured earnings, leading to a sharp stock decline and significant market cap loss in July.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding position in the AI accelerator market, with roughly 80-85% share amid explosive data center demand, underpins the near-certain market consensus that it will hold the top market-cap spot at July's end. Strong Blackwell platform adoption and sustained hyperscaler spending have offset periodic valuation pressures from AI buildout cost concerns, allowing NVIDIA to reclaim and defend leadership over Apple and Microsoft despite brief July fluctuations. Traders view the company's execution edge and expanding total addressable market as durable through month-end. Potential disruptors include sharper-than-expected competitor gains from custom silicon or an abrupt slowdown in enterprise AI budgets, though current momentum makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
NVIDIA's commanding position in the AI accelerator market, with roughly 80-85% share amid explosive data center demand, underpins the near-certain market consensus that it will hold the top market-cap spot at July's end. Strong Blackwell platform adoption and sustained hyperscaler spending have offset periodic valuation pressures from AI buildout cost concerns, allowing NVIDIA to reclaim and defend leadership over Apple and Microsoft despite brief July fluctuations. Traders view the company's execution edge and expanding total addressable market as durable through month-end. Potential disruptors include sharper-than-expected competitor gains from custom silicon or an abrupt slowdown in enterprise AI budgets, though current momentum makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft Stock Surges 15% in Historic Single-Day Market Cap Gain
Microsoft plunges to 0%23%
Following a strong Q4 FY2026 earnings report with Azure crossing $100 billion in annual revenue, Microsoft’s stock surged over 15%, adding approximately $450 billion in market value, the largest single-day gain in history.
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft posts historic market cap surge after earnings report
On July 30, 2026, Microsoft’s stock surged over 15%, adding nearly $500 billion in market capitalization in a single day following a strong earnings report that alleviated investor concerns about AI investments and cash flow.
Jul 30 2026
Apple Hits $5 Trillion Market Cap Amid Strategic Pricing Decisions
Apple's market capitalization surpassed $5 trillion driven by stable iPhone pricing and increased shipments, marking it as the second company ever to reach this milestone, shortly before Tim Cook's final earnings call as CEO.
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft Reports Strong Q4 FY26 Results, Stock Jumps Nearly 9%
Microsoft's Q4 FY2026 earnings beat expectations with Azure revenue crossing $100 billion annually, leading to a nearly 9% stock price increase and reinforcing investor confidence in AI and cloud growth.
Jul 30 2026
Apple CEO Tim Cook's final earnings call marks leadership transition
Apple’s Q3 2026 earnings call on July 30, 2026, was Tim Cook’s last as CEO, marking a significant leadership transition to John Ternus and influencing investor confidence and stock valuation.
Jul 29 2026
Nvidia shares fall nearly 5% amid market challenges and AI investment scrutiny
NVIDIA drops to 9%13%
On July 29, 2026, Nvidia’s shares dropped nearly 5% to $196.51 amid concerns about the sustainability of its AI capital expenditures and market valuation, reflecting investor caution despite strong revenue growth in AI data center chips.
Jul 29 2026
Microsoft reports strong Q4 FY26 earnings, shares jump
Microsoft's Q4 FY26 earnings beat expectations with Azure crossing $100 billion annual revenue, leading to a $260 billion market cap increase and a stock price rally despite sector volatility.
Jul 29 2026
Amazon Expected to Raise 2026 Capital Expenditure Guidance After Alphabet's Increase
Amazon plunges to 0%22%
Following Alphabet's increase in full-year 2026 capex guidance, Amazon is anticipated to raise its own AI-related capital expenditure forecast during its Q2 earnings report on July 30, reflecting ongoing investment in AI infrastructure.
Jul 28 2026
Apple briefly hits $5 trillion market cap amid strong iPhone demand
Apple surges to 90%20%
Apple's market capitalization briefly surpassed $5 trillion on July 28, 2026, driven by strong iPhone 17 demand, a device-first AI strategy, and regulatory approval in China, positioning Apple as a close competitor to Nvidia for the largest company title.
Jul 28 2026
Apple briefly surpasses $5 trillion market cap, becoming second company to do so
Apple plunges to 25%54%
Apple's market capitalization briefly exceeded $5 trillion on July 28, 2026, driven by strong iPhone demand, strategic pricing decisions, and anticipation of CEO Tim Cook's final earnings call. This milestone marked Apple as only the second company after NVIDIA to reach this valuation.
Jul 27 2026
Apple Reclaims Title as World's Most Valuable Company with $4.94 Trillion Market Cap
Apple jumps to 20%8%
Apple's stock rose to a new all-time high, pushing its market capitalization to approximately $4.94 trillion, briefly surpassing Nvidia and reclaiming the top spot due to strong iPhone demand and a device-first AI strategy.
Jul 27 2026
Apple stock surges amid $5 trillion market cap milestone anticipation
Apple surges to 76%53%
Apple's stock surged on July 27, 2026, driven by investor excitement ahead of the company briefly crossing the $5 trillion market cap mark and the upcoming CEO transition.
Jul 27 2026
Apple reclaims title of world's most valuable company from Nvidia
Apple surges to 79%55%
On July 27, 2026, Apple’s market cap rose to roughly $4.94 trillion, surpassing Nvidia’s $4.83 trillion, driven by investor preference for companies with restrained AI spending. This marked a shift in leadership after Nvidia had held the top spot since June 2025.
Jul 27 2026
Apple reclaims world's largest market cap with record closing highs
Apple dips to 25%4%
On July 27, 2026, Apple closed at an all-time high, lifting its market capitalization to approximately $4.93–$4.95 trillion, briefly surpassing NVIDIA and ending NVIDIA’s 272-day run as the largest U.S. company by market value.
Jul 23 2026
Alphabet stock slides 7% after raising 2026 capital expenditure guidance
Alphabet drops to 4%8%
On July 23, 2026, Alphabet’s stock dropped 7.13% to $317.69 after the company raised its AI-related capital spending forecast for 2026, signaling aggressive investment ahead. Investors reacted negatively due to concerns over the impact of high AI spending on profitability.
Jul 23 2026
Tesla stock plunges 14.5% after Q2 earnings miss and margin concerns
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Following Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings release, the stock dropped sharply due to a miss on earnings per share and concerns over AI and robotics spending impacting profitability, wiping out significant market value.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla Q2 2026 Earnings Miss Triggers Massive Market Cap Wipeout
Tesla plunges to 0%78%
Tesla reported record revenue and deliveries but missed earnings expectations due to high costs from AI and robotics investments, causing a 14.5% stock price drop and a $140 billion market cap loss in one day.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla stock plunges 14.5% after Q2 earnings miss and margin concerns
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla’s shares dropped sharply on July 23, 2026, following a Q2 earnings report that showed strong revenue but significant margin compression due to AI and robotics investments, leading to a loss of over $140 billion in market cap in one day.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla reports Q2 earnings with revenue growth but profit decline
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings showed 16% revenue growth to $22.4 billion but a 57% drop in operating profit, leading to a $200 billion market cap decline amid increased AI and robotics investments, weakening its position in the market.
Jul 21 2026
Nvidia reports strong Q2 revenue guidance and AI chip demand
Nvidia's stock traded near record highs with a market cap around $5.05 trillion, supported by robust AI infrastructure demand and $91 billion revenue guidance for Q2. This reinforced Nvidia's position as the world's largest company by market cap in July 2026.
Jul 18 2026
Alphabet maintains strong revenue growth but faces high capex pressure
Alphabet plunges to 0%42%
Alphabet reported $109.9 billion in Q1 2026 revenue with 63% cloud growth, but increased AI infrastructure spending raised capital expenditures to $180-190 billion for 2026, pressuring free cash flow and stock performance.
Jul 16 2026
Chinese regulators approve Apple Intelligence features in China
Apple surges to 38%26%
Chinese regulatory clearance for Apple's AI features with local partners boosted investor confidence, contributing to Apple's stock rally and market cap growth approaching $5 trillion.
Jul 16 2026
Jim Cramer highlights Broadcom as market turn indicator amid AI spending
Broadcom plunges to 0%23%
Jim Cramer identified Broadcom as a bellwether stock for hyperscaler AI spending and market direction in early July 2026, influencing investor sentiment and price movements in the semiconductor sector.
Jul 14 2026
Nvidia loses nearly $1 trillion in market cap over two months
Between mid-May and early July 2026, Nvidia's market cap declined by nearly $1 trillion, reflecting a significant correction after a peak valuation of approximately $5.5 trillion, impacting its stock price and market position temporarily.
Jul 14 2026
Saudi Aramco Base Oil hits 52-week high amid strong demand
On July 14, 2026, Saudi Aramco Base Oil stock reached a 52-week high after a 7-day winning streak, reflecting strong demand and positive market sentiment despite broader oil price volatility.
Jul 9 2026
Jim Cramer highlights Broadcom as market indicator for tech sector
Broadcom plunges to 0%23%
Jim Cramer identified Broadcom as a bellwether semiconductor stock signaling market turns, with its Q2 2026 earnings and hyperscaler AI spending trends closely watched by investors for sector health indications.
Jul 6 2026
Saudi Aramco Cuts Oil Prices Amid Market Weakness
Saudi Aramco drops to 0%13%
Saudi Aramco announced its largest oil price cut in decades, lowering Arab Light oil prices by $11 a barrel for Asian buyers, reflecting increased global supply and heightened competition, impacting its stock price and market cap.
Jul 6 2026
Apple stock rises on anticipation of iPhone 18 release and CEO transition
Apple drops to 12%6%
Apple's stock rose over 13% year-to-date by early July 2026, fueled by strong earnings in 2025, upcoming iPhone 18 launch, and Tim Cook's planned CEO departure, boosting investor optimism.
Jul 2 2026
US labor market shows signs of cooling in June 2026
The US economy added only 57,000 jobs in June 2026, below expectations, signaling a potential weakening labor market that could influence Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and broader economic conditions affecting market valuations.
Jul 2 2026
Tesla reports strong Q2 deliveries but warns on AI spending costs
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla announced record vehicle deliveries in Q2 2026, but heavy AI and robotics investments pressured earnings, leading to a sharp stock decline and significant market cap loss in July.
"La più grande azienda alla fine di luglio?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "NVIDIA" a 100%, seguito da "Tesla" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.
Ad oggi, "La più grande azienda alla fine di luglio?" ha generato $7.8 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 24, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.
Per fare trading su "La più grande azienda alla fine di luglio?", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.
L'attuale favorito per "La più grande azienda alla fine di luglio?" è "NVIDIA" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Tesla" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.
Le regole di risoluzione per "La più grande azienda alla fine di luglio?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.
Sì. Non è necessario fare trading per restare informati. Questa pagina funziona come un tracker live per "La più grande azienda alla fine di luglio?". Le probabilità degli esiti si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che arrivano nuove operazioni. Puoi aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti e controllare la sezione commenti per vedere cosa dicono gli altri trader. Puoi anche usare i filtri temporali sul grafico per vedere come sono cambiate le quote nel tempo. È una finestra gratuita e in tempo reale su ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.
Le quote di Polymarket sono stabilite da veri trader che investono denaro reale nelle loro convinzioni, il che tende a produrre previsioni accurate. Con $7.8 million scambiati su "La più grande azienda alla fine di luglio?", questi prezzi aggregano la conoscenza collettiva e la convinzione di migliaia di partecipanti — spesso superando sondaggi, previsioni di esperti e indagini tradizionali. I mercati predittivi come Polymarket hanno un forte track record di accuratezza, specialmente man mano che gli eventi si avvicinano alla data di risoluzione. Ad esempio, Polymarket ha un punteggio di accuratezza a un mese di 94%. Per le ultime statistiche sull'accuratezza delle previsioni di Polymarket, visita la pagina accuratezza su Polymarket.
Per piazzare la tua prima operazione su "La più grande azienda alla fine di luglio?", registrati per un account Polymarket gratuito e finanzialo con crypto, carta di credito o debito, o bonifico bancario. Una volta finanziato il tuo account, torna su questa pagina, seleziona l'esito su cui vuoi fare trading, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se sei nuovo ai mercati predittivi, clicca il link "Come funziona" in cima a qualsiasi pagina Polymarket per una guida passo-passo su come funziona il trading.
Su Polymarket, il prezzo di ogni esito rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Un prezzo di 100¢ per "NVIDIA" nel mercato "La più grande azienda alla fine di luglio?" significa che i trader credono collettivamente che ci sia circa una probabilità di 100% che "NVIDIA" sia il risultato corretto. Se compri azioni "Sì" a 100¢ e l'esito è corretto, ricevi $1,00 per azione — un profitto di 0¢ per azione. Se errato, quelle azioni valgono $0.
Il mercato "La più grande azienda alla fine di luglio?" è stato risolto. Il risultato finale è stato determinato e il mercato non è più aperto al trading. Puoi comunque consultare le quote storiche, le probabilità degli esiti e i commenti su questa pagina per vedere come si sono evolute le previsioni nel tempo.
Il mercato "La più grande azienda alla fine di luglio?" ha una comunità attiva di 1,509 commenti dove i trader condividono le loro analisi, discutono gli esiti e commentano gli sviluppi dell'ultima ora. Scorri in basso alla sezione commenti per leggere cosa pensano gli altri partecipanti. Puoi anche filtrare per "Maggiori detentori" per vedere su cosa sono posizionati i più grandi trader del mercato, o controllare la scheda "Attività" per un feed in tempo reale delle operazioni.
Polymarket è il più grande mercato predittivo al mondo, dove puoi restare informato e trarre profitto dalla tua conoscenza di eventi reali. I trader comprano e vendono azioni sugli esiti per argomenti che spaziano dalla politica e le elezioni alle crypto, finanza, sport, tecnologia e cultura, inclusi mercati come "La più grande azienda alla fine di luglio?". I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale supportate da convinzione finanziaria, fornendo spesso segnali più rapidi e accurati di sondaggi, opinionisti o indagini tradizionali.
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