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Proposals predictions & odds

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MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

92%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

30%

$8.2K Vol.

$599 Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

10

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

86%

$180 billion

$318 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 12 months

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

74%

Civilian Service Act

$95.9K Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

67%

$557K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

34%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$581 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

12%

$58.2K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 18 days

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

67%

↓ 500

$110K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

91%

$129K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

37%

$3M Vol.

$86.9K Liq.

17

Ends in 6 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

54%

June 30

$17M Vol.

$658K today

$412K Liq.

442

Ends in about 2 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

82%

50

$18.1K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

7%

$122K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

12

Ends in about 2 months

Anthropic next funding round closed by...?

Anthropic next funding round closed by...?

94%

December 31

$10.8K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

68%

$7.4K Vol.

$29.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

39%

$8.1K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

6%

$147K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

33%

$1.5K Vol.

$744 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Proposals.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Proposals that lets you track or trade on predictions like “MegaETH airdrop by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $24.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 54% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Proposals predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.