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Kentucky Derby predictions & odds

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2026 Kentucky Derby: Winner

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$37 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

<1%

↓ 38

$409K Vol.

$81.2K Liq.

What price will Ethena hit in May?

What price will Ethena hit in May?

<1%

↑ 0.24

$27.0K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

Centurion 2: Luc Koenig vs Semen Pankin

Centurion 2: Luc Koenig vs Semen Pankin

73%

Semen Pankin

$148 Vol.

$61.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Gallrein 9%+

$190K Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

6

What price will BNB hit in May?

What price will BNB hit in May?

<1%

↓ 400

$73.0K Vol.

$58.1K Liq.

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

8%

June 30

$164K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

10

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

78%

50

$20.6K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Birmingham (Doubles): Riedi/Schoolkate vs Escobar/Kittay

Birmingham (Doubles): Riedi/Schoolkate vs Escobar/Kittay

56%

Riedi/Schoolkate

$10 Vol.

$177 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt

Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt

61%

Mattia Bellucci

$1.2K Vol.

$72.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What price will Solana hit in May?

What price will Solana hit in May?

<1%

↑ 170

$3M Vol.

$451K Liq.

Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Fery

Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Fery

61%

Arthur Fery

$7.5K Vol.

$60.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

29%

↑ $3

$664K Vol.

$55.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What price will Dogecoin hit in May?

What price will Dogecoin hit in May?

<1%

↑ 0.20

$728K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

<1%

↑ 115,000

$42M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

2

UTEP Miners vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (W)

UTEP Miners vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (W)

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

$30 Vol.

$0 Liq.

What price will Chainlink hit in May?

What price will Chainlink hit in May?

<1%

↑ 18

$34.1K Vol.

$59.4K Liq.

Centurion 2 (Doubles): Beckley/Donski vs Kouzmine/Strombachs

Centurion 2 (Doubles): Beckley/Donski vs Kouzmine/Strombachs

51%

Beckley/Donski

$0 Vol.

$160 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

60%

↓ 0.40

$67.1K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Centurion 2 (Doubles): Neos/Pankin vs Caripi/Hussey

Centurion 2 (Doubles): Neos/Pankin vs Caripi/Hussey

50%

Caripi/Hussey

$0 Vol.

$160 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Kentucky Derby.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Kentucky Derby that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Kentucky Derby: Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $47.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↓ 75,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Kentucky Derby predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.