Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

10%

December 31

$691K Vol.

$136K today

$324K Liq.

12

Ends in 9 months

Will any country leave NATO by...?

Will any country leave NATO by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$644K Vol.

$136K Liq.

24

Ends in 9 months

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$740K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

13

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

46%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

$8.8K Vol.

$84.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

41%

Lula da Silva <5%

$207K Vol.

$69.9K Liq.

8

Ends in 6 months

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

42%

FP

$14.6K Vol.

$35.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 days

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

45%

59-60%

$307K Vol.

$29.4K Liq.

57

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

60%

70-75%

$2.9K Vol.

$34.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

18%

April 30

$51.7K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

18

Ends in 26 days

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

11%

$7.9K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

45%

PB 5-10%

$20.7K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

47%

55-60%

$2M Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

363

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election

34%

71–74%

$103K Vol.

$59.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

46%

Other

$149K Vol.

$104K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 days

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner

94%

PB

$91.5K Vol.

$73.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 15 days

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

21%

Paxton 9%+

$44.6K Vol.

$80.9K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

94%

GERB-SDS

$20.7K Vol.

$51.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

38%

Tisza <9%

$6.9K Vol.

$57.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

70%

TISZA

$57M Vol.

$867K today

$914K Liq.

132

Ends in 8 days

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

79%

PP–DB

$16.9K Vol.

$48.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Exit Polls.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Exit Polls that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will US withdraw from NATO by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $61.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 70% chance to TISZA. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Exit Polls predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.