Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects scant likelihood—around 6% for declaration by June 30, 2026—of Prime Minister Keir Starmer calling a snap general election anytime soon, anchored by Labour's commanding 174-seat House of Commons majority from the 2024 landslide victory that secures governance until at least August 2029. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this stability, with earlier petitions amassing over a million signatures for an immediate vote dismissed amid parliamentary clashes in January. Public frustration simmers over policy delivery, but dissolution remains improbable without crisis; upcoming May 2026 local elections serve as a key popularity test that could spur opposition gains or internal Labour pressure, though leadership change alone wouldn't trigger a poll.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트... 이 (가) 부른 영국 선거?
... 이 (가) 부른 영국 선거?
$743,048 거래량
2026.06.30
2026년 6월 30일
4%
$743,048 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
$17,324 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects scant likelihood—around 6% for declaration by June 30, 2026—of Prime Minister Keir Starmer calling a snap general election anytime soon, anchored by Labour's commanding 174-seat House of Commons majority from the 2024 landslide victory that secures governance until at least August 2029. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this stability, with earlier petitions amassing over a million signatures for an immediate vote dismissed amid parliamentary clashes in January. Public frustration simmers over policy delivery, but dissolution remains improbable without crisis; upcoming May 2026 local elections serve as a key popularity test that could spur opposition gains or internal Labour pressure, though leadership change alone wouldn't trigger a poll.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
거래량
$743,048종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects scant likelihood—around 6% for declaration by June 30, 2026—of Prime Minister Keir Starmer calling a snap general election anytime soon, anchored by Labour's commanding 174-seat House of Commons majority from the 2024 landslide victory that secures governance until at least August 2029. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this stability, with earlier petitions amassing over a million signatures for an immediate vote dismissed amid parliamentary clashes in January. Public frustration simmers over policy delivery, but dissolution remains improbable without crisis; upcoming May 2026 local elections serve as a key popularity test that could spur opposition gains or internal Labour pressure, though leadership change alone wouldn't trigger a poll.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$743,048종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects scant likelihood—around 6% for declaration by June 30, 2026—of Prime Minister Keir Starmer calling a snap general election anytime soon, anchored by Labour's commanding 174-seat House of Commons majority from the 2024 landslide victory that secures governance until at least August 2029. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge this stability, with earlier petitions amassing over a million signatures for an immediate vote dismissed amid parliamentary clashes in January. Public frustration simmers over policy delivery, but dissolution remains improbable without crisis; upcoming May 2026 local elections serve as a key popularity test that could spur opposition gains or internal Labour pressure, though leadership change alone wouldn't trigger a poll.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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