Trader consensus prices a mere 3% chance of the next UK general election being called by June 30, 2026, anchored by Labour's commanding 2024 parliamentary majority that secures Keir Starmer's government until 2029 barring collapse. Today's sprawling local elections across England, Scotland, and Wales—over 5,000 council seats at stake—act as de facto midterms, with polls projecting historic Labour losses exceeding 400 seats to surging Reform UK under Nigel Farage, Greens, and Liberals amid backlash to budgets, migration policies, and falling approval ratings. Results tonight could amplify opposition calls for a snap poll from Tory leader Kemi Badenoch, but precedent shows PMs rarely dissolve early post-locals, prioritizing stability over risk.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트... 이 (가) 부른 영국 선거?
... 이 (가) 부른 영국 선거?
$749,214 거래량
2026.06.30
2026년 6월 30일
3%
$749,214 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
$23,490 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a mere 3% chance of the next UK general election being called by June 30, 2026, anchored by Labour's commanding 2024 parliamentary majority that secures Keir Starmer's government until 2029 barring collapse. Today's sprawling local elections across England, Scotland, and Wales—over 5,000 council seats at stake—act as de facto midterms, with polls projecting historic Labour losses exceeding 400 seats to surging Reform UK under Nigel Farage, Greens, and Liberals amid backlash to budgets, migration policies, and falling approval ratings. Results tonight could amplify opposition calls for a snap poll from Tory leader Kemi Badenoch, but precedent shows PMs rarely dissolve early post-locals, prioritizing stability over risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
거래량
$749,214종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices a mere 3% chance of the next UK general election being called by June 30, 2026, anchored by Labour's commanding 2024 parliamentary majority that secures Keir Starmer's government until 2029 barring collapse. Today's sprawling local elections across England, Scotland, and Wales—over 5,000 council seats at stake—act as de facto midterms, with polls projecting historic Labour losses exceeding 400 seats to surging Reform UK under Nigel Farage, Greens, and Liberals amid backlash to budgets, migration policies, and falling approval ratings. Results tonight could amplify opposition calls for a snap poll from Tory leader Kemi Badenoch, but precedent shows PMs rarely dissolve early post-locals, prioritizing stability over risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$749,214종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a mere 3% chance of the next UK general election being called by June 30, 2026, anchored by Labour's commanding 2024 parliamentary majority that secures Keir Starmer's government until 2029 barring collapse. Today's sprawling local elections across England, Scotland, and Wales—over 5,000 council seats at stake—act as de facto midterms, with polls projecting historic Labour losses exceeding 400 seats to surging Reform UK under Nigel Farage, Greens, and Liberals amid backlash to budgets, migration policies, and falling approval ratings. Results tonight could amplify opposition calls for a snap poll from Tory leader Kemi Badenoch, but precedent shows PMs rarely dissolve early post-locals, prioritizing stability over risk.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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