Prime Minister Keir Starmer retains full discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act to trigger a snap UK general election before the automatic 2029 deadline, yet markets reflect low odds of a call by late June because recent May 2026 local and devolved election results exposed Labour weakness without triggering immediate crisis-level pressure. Poor showings for the governing party, combined with Reform UK polling strength and internal Labour tensions over Starmer’s leadership, have fueled speculation about timing, but the large Commons majority and absence of any formal dissolution signals keep traders focused on later windows. Key near-term catalysts include further by-elections, fresh national polling, and any major policy or economic developments that could alter the incentive to go early versus running the full term.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트... 이 (가) 부른 영국 선거?
... 이 (가) 부른 영국 선거?
$770,295 거래량
2026.06.30
2026년 6월 30일
3%
December 31, 2026
57%
$770,295 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
$44,571 거래량
3%
December 31, 2026
$0 거래량
57%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Keir Starmer retains full discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act to trigger a snap UK general election before the automatic 2029 deadline, yet markets reflect low odds of a call by late June because recent May 2026 local and devolved election results exposed Labour weakness without triggering immediate crisis-level pressure. Poor showings for the governing party, combined with Reform UK polling strength and internal Labour tensions over Starmer’s leadership, have fueled speculation about timing, but the large Commons majority and absence of any formal dissolution signals keep traders focused on later windows. Key near-term catalysts include further by-elections, fresh national polling, and any major policy or economic developments that could alter the incentive to go early versus running the full term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
거래량
$770,295종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Keir Starmer retains full discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act to trigger a snap UK general election before the automatic 2029 deadline, yet markets reflect low odds of a call by late June because recent May 2026 local and devolved election results exposed Labour weakness without triggering immediate crisis-level pressure. Poor showings for the governing party, combined with Reform UK polling strength and internal Labour tensions over Starmer’s leadership, have fueled speculation about timing, but the large Commons majority and absence of any formal dissolution signals keep traders focused on later windows. Key near-term catalysts include further by-elections, fresh national polling, and any major policy or economic developments that could alter the incentive to go early versus running the full term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$770,295종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Keir Starmer retains full discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act to trigger a snap UK general election before the automatic 2029 deadline, yet markets reflect low odds of a call by late June because recent May 2026 local and devolved election results exposed Labour weakness without triggering immediate crisis-level pressure. Poor showings for the governing party, combined with Reform UK polling strength and internal Labour tensions over Starmer’s leadership, have fueled speculation about timing, but the large Commons majority and absence of any formal dissolution signals keep traders focused on later windows. Key near-term catalysts include further by-elections, fresh national polling, and any major policy or economic developments that could alter the incentive to go early versus running the full term.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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