The next UK general election must take place by mid-August 2029 at latest, though the prime minister holds discretion to call it sooner under the current fixed-term rules. Labour secured a large majority in July 2024, but its performance in the May 2026 local elections proved weak, with Reform UK and other opposition parties gaining ground amid shifting opinion polls. No dissolution has occurred as of late May 2026, leaving the timing open. Key factors that could accelerate a snap vote include sustained polling declines for the government, economic pressures, or internal Labour tensions. Traders monitor these signals closely, as early calls remain possible but uncommon without clear triggers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트... 이 (가) 부른 영국 선거?
$770,295 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
3%
December 31, 2026
54%
$770,295 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
3%
December 31, 2026
54%
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The next UK general election must take place by mid-August 2029 at latest, though the prime minister holds discretion to call it sooner under the current fixed-term rules. Labour secured a large majority in July 2024, but its performance in the May 2026 local elections proved weak, with Reform UK and other opposition parties gaining ground amid shifting opinion polls. No dissolution has occurred as of late May 2026, leaving the timing open. Key factors that could accelerate a snap vote include sustained polling declines for the government, economic pressures, or internal Labour tensions. Traders monitor these signals closely, as early calls remain possible but uncommon without clear triggers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문