Trader consensus on Polymarket prices just a 3% implied probability for the next UK general election being called by June 30, reflecting Prime Minister Keir Starmer's commanding parliamentary majority from Labour's 2024 landslide, which shields against immediate pressure despite widespread discontent. A January petition garnering over 1 million signatures for a snap vote sparked parliamentary debate but yielded no action, while recent polls show Labour slumping to fourth place behind even the Greens ahead of pivotal May 7 local elections—a key popularity test where Reform UK gains could intensify calls for an early ballot. An IMF downgrade of UK growth to 0.8% adds economic headwinds, but only catastrophic local losses or internal Labour revolt might shift odds meaningfully before summer.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트... 이 (가) 부른 영국 선거?
... 이 (가) 부른 영국 선거?
$742,936 거래량
2026.06.30
2026년 6월 30일
7%
$742,936 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
$17,212 거래량
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices just a 3% implied probability for the next UK general election being called by June 30, reflecting Prime Minister Keir Starmer's commanding parliamentary majority from Labour's 2024 landslide, which shields against immediate pressure despite widespread discontent. A January petition garnering over 1 million signatures for a snap vote sparked parliamentary debate but yielded no action, while recent polls show Labour slumping to fourth place behind even the Greens ahead of pivotal May 7 local elections—a key popularity test where Reform UK gains could intensify calls for an early ballot. An IMF downgrade of UK growth to 0.8% adds economic headwinds, but only catastrophic local losses or internal Labour revolt might shift odds meaningfully before summer.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
거래량
$742,936종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices just a 3% implied probability for the next UK general election being called by June 30, reflecting Prime Minister Keir Starmer's commanding parliamentary majority from Labour's 2024 landslide, which shields against immediate pressure despite widespread discontent. A January petition garnering over 1 million signatures for a snap vote sparked parliamentary debate but yielded no action, while recent polls show Labour slumping to fourth place behind even the Greens ahead of pivotal May 7 local elections—a key popularity test where Reform UK gains could intensify calls for an early ballot. An IMF downgrade of UK growth to 0.8% adds economic headwinds, but only catastrophic local losses or internal Labour revolt might shift odds meaningfully before summer.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$742,936종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices just a 3% implied probability for the next UK general election being called by June 30, reflecting Prime Minister Keir Starmer's commanding parliamentary majority from Labour's 2024 landslide, which shields against immediate pressure despite widespread discontent. A January petition garnering over 1 million signatures for a snap vote sparked parliamentary debate but yielded no action, while recent polls show Labour slumping to fourth place behind even the Greens ahead of pivotal May 7 local elections—a key popularity test where Reform UK gains could intensify calls for an early ballot. An IMF downgrade of UK growth to 0.8% adds economic headwinds, but only catastrophic local losses or internal Labour revolt might shift odds meaningfully before summer.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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