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Black Friday predictions & odds

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Siena Saints vs. Army Black Knights (W)

Siena Saints vs. Army Black Knights (W)

Army Black Knights

$4.2K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs KRÜ Blaze (BO5)

Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs KRÜ Blaze (BO5)

Match Winner

+ 4 more

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

9%

Remarkably Bright Creatures

$29.5K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

84%

Caroline Elliott

$190K Vol.

$127K Liq.

6

Ends in 13 days

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

90%

Remarkably Bright Creatures

$18.7K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

48%

Baby

$10.9K Vol.

$548 Liq.

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

95%

Swapped

$14.5K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

95%

Remarkably Bright Creatures

$41.8K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

84%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$645K Vol.

$34.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

100%

Sentinels

$623K Vol.

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

54%

↓ 75,000

$18M Vol.

$965K today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends in 15 days

What price will Bitcoin hit May 11-17?

What price will Bitcoin hit May 11-17?

5%

↓ 76,000

$2M Vol.

$271K today

$418K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

8%

↓ 2 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$919 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: MAGIC PIGGY vs Dripmen (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs

Counter-Strike: MAGIC PIGGY vs Dripmen (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs

100%

Dripmen

$602 Vol.

$0 Liq.

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs

Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs

61%

DarkZero Esports

$157 Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Counter-Strike: Brute vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Brute vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

Brute

$38.5K Vol.

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

67%

MIBR

$0 Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

64%

Heroic

$0 Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Black Friday.

Polymarket currently hosts 120 active markets for Black Friday that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Siena Saints vs. Army Black Knights (W)”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $24.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Brute vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Black Friday predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.