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3lau predictions & odds

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Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

76%

September 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$73.1K Liq.

204

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

14%

June 30

$371K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

21

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$204K Vol.

$39.2K Liq.

70

Ends in 8 months

Blaublitz Akita vs. Thespa Gunma

Blaublitz Akita vs. Thespa Gunma

67%

Blaublitz Akita

$392 Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

34%

9-11

$33.7K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

53%

50%+

$62.0K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 month

Blaublitz Akita vs. Tochigi City FC

Blaublitz Akita vs. Tochigi City FC

45%

Draw (Blaublitz Akita vs. Tochigi City FC)

$0 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?

Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?

30%

$34 Vol.

$17 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

18%

45%+

$283K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 month

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

70%

$21.4K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

23%

$195K Vol.

$83 Liq.

4

Ends in 2 months

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

44%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$29M Vol.

$68.9K today

$2M Liq.

431

Ends in about 1 month

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

36%

Starmer - UK PM

$354K Vol.

$279K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

86%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$6M Vol.

$1M Liq.

39

Ends in 14 days

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

67%

ChatGPT

$5.3K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

<1%

Other

$33.1K Vol.

$827K Liq.

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?

68%

Claude by Anthropic

$2.0K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

73%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$90.1K Vol.

$225K Liq.

3

Ends in 14 days

WNBA: 2026 Rookie of the Year

WNBA: 2026 Rookie of the Year

71%

Olivia Miles

$460 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ceará Governor Election Winner

68%

Ciro Gomes

$55.5K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 124 active markets for 3lau that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Claude 5 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $40.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Colombia Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Colombia Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to Abelardo de la Espriella. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 3lau predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.