Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

50%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$174K Liq.

166

Ends in 25 days

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

53%

June 30

$91.0K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 25 days

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

Will Claude go down on __ days in April?

43%

12+

$29.9K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Claude 4.7 released by...?

Claude 4.7 released by...?

64%

June 30

$78.2K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

6

Ends in 3 months

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

33%

12+

$635 Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

96%

35%+

$192K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

76%

50%+

$56.2K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 months

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$167K Vol.

$38.1K Liq.

67

Ends in 9 months

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

30%

$192K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 4 months

Blaublitz Akita vs. Montedio Yamagata

Blaublitz Akita vs. Montedio Yamagata

50%

Blaublitz Akita

$0 Vol.

$31 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Blaublitz Akita

Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Blaublitz Akita

49%

Vanraure Hachinohe FC

$0 Vol.

$38 Liq.

Ends in 22 days

Blaublitz Akita vs. Yokohama FC

Blaublitz Akita vs. Yokohama FC

48%

Draw (Blaublitz Akita vs. Yokohama FC)

$2.9K Vol.

$138 Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Blaublitz Akita vs. Shōnan Bellmāre

Blaublitz Akita vs. Shōnan Bellmāre

46%

Blaublitz Akita

$34 Vol.

$284 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

95%

$20.8K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

100%

April 7

$57.8K Vol.

$37.5K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

96%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$8.4K Vol.

$94.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

96%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$5.4K Vol.

$82.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

12%

$49.0K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

3

Ends in 25 days

Which league will Mo Salah play in next?

Which league will Mo Salah play in next?

60%

Saudi Pro League

$3.0K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 5 months

Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?

Which club will Cristiano Ronaldo play for next?

27%

Los Angeles FC (LAFC)

$33.3K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 3lau.

Polymarket currently hosts 132 active markets for 3lau that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Claude 5 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Claude 5 released by…?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Claude 5 released by…?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 50% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 3lau predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.