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US strikes Iran by...?

Market icon

US strikes Iran by...?

$529,033,417 Wol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$529,033,417 Wol.

Polymarket

December 31

$19,193 Wol.

No

January 11

$3,035,454 Wol.

No

January 12

$1,743,135 Wol.

No

January 13

$3,335,543 Wol.

No

January 14

$13,619,742 Wol.

No

January 15

$7,975,002 Wol.

No

January 16

$8,491,723 Wol.

No

January 17

$3,823,998 Wol.

No

January 18

$5,468,913 Wol.

No

January 23

$12,296,618 Wol.

No

January 24

$2,924,662 Wol.

No

January 25

$2,703,692 Wol.

No

January 26

$6,908,538 Wol.

No

January 27

$2,498,074 Wol.

No

January 28

$1,950,685 Wol.

No

January 29

$3,064,539 Wol.

No

January 30

$3,469,659 Wol.

No

January 31

$41,754,060 Wol.

No

February 1

$6,629,658 Wol.

No

February 2

$4,246,232 Wol.

No

February 3

$3,763,165 Wol.

No

February 4

$3,844,340 Wol.

No

February 5

$4,461,531 Wol.

No

February 6

$9,750,256 Wol.

No

February 7

$3,615,405 Wol.

No

February 8

$3,821,142 Wol.

No

February 9

$17,561,112 Wol.

No

February 10

$10,496,937 Wol.

No

February 11

$4,493,524 Wol.

No

February 12

$4,187,886 Wol.

No

February 13

$15,146,244 Wol.

No

February 14

$4,140,716 Wol.

No

February 15

$4,542,348 Wol.

No

February 16

$4,855,990 Wol.

No

February 17

$5,599,406 Wol.

No

February 18

$7,408,763 Wol.

No

February 19

$8,798,853 Wol.

No

February 20

$18,810,054 Wol.

No

February 21

$12,250,013 Wol.

No

February 22

$12,611,170 Wol.

No

February 23

$14,022,419 Wol.

No

February 24

$16,942,274 Wol.

No

February 25

$10,517,389 Wol.

No

February 26

$14,489,547 Wol.

No

February 27

$25,087,849 Wol.

No

February 28

$89,652,867 Wol.

Yes

March 1

$8,093,539 Wol.

Yes

March 2

$3,812,922 Wol.

Yes

March 3

$1,917,863 Wol.

Yes

March 4

$1,376,485 Wol.

Yes

March 5

$1,565,799 Wol.

Yes

March 6

$1,008,204 Wol.

Yes

March 7

$2,470,666 Wol.

Yes

March 8

$539,454 Wol.

Yes

March 9

$379,810 Wol.

Yes

March 10

$269,970 Wol.

Yes

March 11

$190,483 Wol.

Yes

March 12

$197,658 Wol.

Yes

March 13

$283,107 Wol.

Yes

March 14

$357,946 Wol.

Yes

March 15

$6,642,886 Wol.

Yes

March 31

$22,213,247 Wol.

Yes

June 30

$9,193,272 Wol.

Yes

December 31

$1,689,785 Wol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$529,033,417
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 22, 2025, 11:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$529,033,417
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Dec 22, 2025, 11:29 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Wynik zaproponowany: No

Brak sporu

Ostateczny wynik: No

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"US strikes Iran by...?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 64+ możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "February 28" z 100%, za nim "March 1" z 100%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "US strikes Iran by...?" wygenerował $529 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Dec 22, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "US strikes Iran by...?", przeglądaj 64+ dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "US strikes Iran by...?" jest "February 28" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "March 1" z 100%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "US strikes Iran by...?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.