Eurozone inflation surged to 3% in April—exceeding the ECB's 2% target—driven by energy price spikes from the Iran conflict, prompting the Governing Council to hold key interest rates steady on April 30 at 2.00% deposit facility, 2.15% main refinancing operations, and 2.40% marginal lending facility. Updated staff projections forecast 2.6% average inflation for 2026 amid weak growth, with officials like Schnabel, Cipollone, and Kazimir signaling potential June hikes as a live option to counter upside risks. Bloomberg surveys and economist polls now anticipate tightening rather than easing, aligning trader consensus at 88% against any ECB rate cut this year despite the June 11 policy decision looming.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoECB rate cut in 2026?
ECB rate cut in 2026?
$27,913 Wol.
$27,913 Wol.
$27,913 Wol.
$27,913 Wol.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation surged to 3% in April—exceeding the ECB's 2% target—driven by energy price spikes from the Iran conflict, prompting the Governing Council to hold key interest rates steady on April 30 at 2.00% deposit facility, 2.15% main refinancing operations, and 2.40% marginal lending facility. Updated staff projections forecast 2.6% average inflation for 2026 amid weak growth, with officials like Schnabel, Cipollone, and Kazimir signaling potential June hikes as a live option to counter upside risks. Bloomberg surveys and economist polls now anticipate tightening rather than easing, aligning trader consensus at 88% against any ECB rate cut this year despite the June 11 policy decision looming.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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