Surging Eurozone inflation to 3% in April 2026, driven by 10.9% energy price increases amid escalating Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict, has entrenched trader consensus against an ECB rate cut this year, pricing "No" at 88%. The ECB Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting—deposit facility at 2%, main refinancing operations at 2.15%—after similar pauses in February and March, while signaling a potential June hike to combat persistent price pressures above the 2% target. This hawkish pivot, reversing earlier easing expectations, reflects official assessments of upside inflation risks from geopolitical shocks, with upcoming policy meetings poised to monitor data for any de-escalation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoECB rate cut in 2026?
ECB rate cut in 2026?
$27,913 Wol.
$27,913 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$27,913 Wol.
$27,913 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Surging Eurozone inflation to 3% in April 2026, driven by 10.9% energy price increases amid escalating Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict, has entrenched trader consensus against an ECB rate cut this year, pricing "No" at 88%. The ECB Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting—deposit facility at 2%, main refinancing operations at 2.15%—after similar pauses in February and March, while signaling a potential June hike to combat persistent price pressures above the 2% target. This hawkish pivot, reversing earlier easing expectations, reflects official assessments of upside inflation risks from geopolitical shocks, with upcoming policy meetings poised to monitor data for any de-escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,913Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Surging Eurozone inflation to 3% in April 2026, driven by 10.9% energy price increases amid escalating Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict, has entrenched trader consensus against an ECB rate cut this year, pricing "No" at 88%. The ECB Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting—deposit facility at 2%, main refinancing operations at 2.15%—after similar pauses in February and March, while signaling a potential June hike to combat persistent price pressures above the 2% target. This hawkish pivot, reversing earlier easing expectations, reflects official assessments of upside inflation risks from geopolitical shocks, with upcoming policy meetings poised to monitor data for any de-escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$27,913Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Surging Eurozone inflation to 3% in April 2026, driven by 10.9% energy price increases amid escalating Middle East tensions including the Iran conflict, has entrenched trader consensus against an ECB rate cut this year, pricing "No" at 88%. The ECB Governing Council held key rates steady at its April 30 meeting—deposit facility at 2%, main refinancing operations at 2.15%—after similar pauses in February and March, while signaling a potential June hike to combat persistent price pressures above the 2% target. This hawkish pivot, reversing earlier easing expectations, reflects official assessments of upside inflation risks from geopolitical shocks, with upcoming policy meetings poised to monitor data for any de-escalation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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