Recent energy price surges linked to Middle East supply disruptions have pushed euro-area headline inflation to 3.0 percent in April 2026 and prompted ECB staff projections of 2.6 percent average inflation for the full year. The Governing Council held the deposit facility rate at 2.00 percent through its March and April meetings yet adopted an explicitly data-dependent stance that flags risks of second-round effects on core measures. Money-market pricing and economist surveys now embed at least one 25-basis-point hike by mid-year, with subdued 0.9 percent growth forecasts viewed as secondary to the inflation outlook. This consensus reflects the central bank’s readiness to tighten if price pressures persist, absent a rapid reversal in energy costs, ahead of scheduled decisions through December.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoECB rate hike in 2026?
ECB rate hike in 2026?
$115,055 Wol.
$115,055 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$115,055 Wol.
$115,055 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent energy price surges linked to Middle East supply disruptions have pushed euro-area headline inflation to 3.0 percent in April 2026 and prompted ECB staff projections of 2.6 percent average inflation for the full year. The Governing Council held the deposit facility rate at 2.00 percent through its March and April meetings yet adopted an explicitly data-dependent stance that flags risks of second-round effects on core measures. Money-market pricing and economist surveys now embed at least one 25-basis-point hike by mid-year, with subdued 0.9 percent growth forecasts viewed as secondary to the inflation outlook. This consensus reflects the central bank’s readiness to tighten if price pressures persist, absent a rapid reversal in energy costs, ahead of scheduled decisions through December.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$115,055Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent energy price surges linked to Middle East supply disruptions have pushed euro-area headline inflation to 3.0 percent in April 2026 and prompted ECB staff projections of 2.6 percent average inflation for the full year. The Governing Council held the deposit facility rate at 2.00 percent through its March and April meetings yet adopted an explicitly data-dependent stance that flags risks of second-round effects on core measures. Money-market pricing and economist surveys now embed at least one 25-basis-point hike by mid-year, with subdued 0.9 percent growth forecasts viewed as secondary to the inflation outlook. This consensus reflects the central bank’s readiness to tighten if price pressures persist, absent a rapid reversal in energy costs, ahead of scheduled decisions through December.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$115,055Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent energy price surges linked to Middle East supply disruptions have pushed euro-area headline inflation to 3.0 percent in April 2026 and prompted ECB staff projections of 2.6 percent average inflation for the full year. The Governing Council held the deposit facility rate at 2.00 percent through its March and April meetings yet adopted an explicitly data-dependent stance that flags risks of second-round effects on core measures. Money-market pricing and economist surveys now embed at least one 25-basis-point hike by mid-year, with subdued 0.9 percent growth forecasts viewed as secondary to the inflation outlook. This consensus reflects the central bank’s readiness to tighten if price pressures persist, absent a rapid reversal in energy costs, ahead of scheduled decisions through December.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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