Recent FOMC meetings have held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent amid persistent inflation readings and stable labor market data, with updated economic projections signaling at most one modest cut later in 2026. Market-implied expectations and futures pricing have aligned with this pause through year-end, pushing back earlier assumptions of earlier easing. The September 15-16 meeting falls after the June and July sessions where similar data flows reinforced caution, limiting scope for a 25 basis point move in either direction. Trader consensus at 76 percent for no change captures this steady policy outlook, while smaller probabilities for adjustments reflect residual uncertainty around incoming inflation prints and growth indicators.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNo change 76%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 8%
50+ bps increase 1.8%
$90,769 Wol.
$90,769 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
8%
No change
76%
25 bps increase
16%
50+ bps increase
2%
No change 76%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 8%
50+ bps increase 1.8%
$90,769 Wol.
$90,769 Wol.
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$15,169 Wol.
2%
25 bps decrease
$20,331 Wol.
8%
No change
$20,691 Wol.
76%
25 bps increase
$18,935 Wol.
16%
50+ bps increase
$15,643 Wol.
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent FOMC meetings have held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent amid persistent inflation readings and stable labor market data, with updated economic projections signaling at most one modest cut later in 2026. Market-implied expectations and futures pricing have aligned with this pause through year-end, pushing back earlier assumptions of earlier easing. The September 15-16 meeting falls after the June and July sessions where similar data flows reinforced caution, limiting scope for a 25 basis point move in either direction. Trader consensus at 76 percent for no change captures this steady policy outlook, while smaller probabilities for adjustments reflect residual uncertainty around incoming inflation prints and growth indicators.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$90,769Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent FOMC meetings have held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent amid persistent inflation readings and stable labor market data, with updated economic projections signaling at most one modest cut later in 2026. Market-implied expectations and futures pricing have aligned with this pause through year-end, pushing back earlier assumptions of earlier easing. The September 15-16 meeting falls after the June and July sessions where similar data flows reinforced caution, limiting scope for a 25 basis point move in either direction. Trader consensus at 76 percent for no change captures this steady policy outlook, while smaller probabilities for adjustments reflect residual uncertainty around incoming inflation prints and growth indicators.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Wolumen
$90,769Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings have held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75 percent amid persistent inflation readings and stable labor market data, with updated economic projections signaling at most one modest cut later in 2026. Market-implied expectations and futures pricing have aligned with this pause through year-end, pushing back earlier assumptions of earlier easing. The September 15-16 meeting falls after the June and July sessions where similar data flows reinforced caution, limiting scope for a 25 basis point move in either direction. Trader consensus at 76 percent for no change captures this steady policy outlook, while smaller probabilities for adjustments reflect residual uncertainty around incoming inflation prints and growth indicators.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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