The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, marking the third consecutive hold amid accelerating inflation—March CPI rose 3.3% year-over-year—and resilient labor conditions. Yesterday's April jobs report revealed 115,000 nonfarm payroll additions, exceeding modest expectations, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.3%, underscoring economic strength that tempers rate hike prospects despite elevated core PCE nowcasting near 3.7%. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% probability of no change at the June 16-17 FOMC, reflecting trader consensus on steady policy; however, tomorrow's April CPI release could shift sentiment if it confirms sticky prices, alongside geopolitical risks influencing energy costs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$144,574 Wol.
Dec 9, 2026
June Meeting
1%
July Meeting
7%
September Meeting
16%
October Meeting
15%
$144,574 Wol.
June Meeting
$12,069 Wol.
1%
July Meeting
$755 Wol.
7%
September Meeting
$49 Wol.
16%
October Meeting
$392 Wol.
15%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, marking the third consecutive hold amid accelerating inflation—March CPI rose 3.3% year-over-year—and resilient labor conditions. Yesterday's April jobs report revealed 115,000 nonfarm payroll additions, exceeding modest expectations, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.3%, underscoring economic strength that tempers rate hike prospects despite elevated core PCE nowcasting near 3.7%. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% probability of no change at the June 16-17 FOMC, reflecting trader consensus on steady policy; however, tomorrow's April CPI release could shift sentiment if it confirms sticky prices, alongside geopolitical risks influencing energy costs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$144,574Data zakończenia
Oct 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, marking the third consecutive hold amid accelerating inflation—March CPI rose 3.3% year-over-year—and resilient labor conditions. Yesterday's April jobs report revealed 115,000 nonfarm payroll additions, exceeding modest expectations, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.3%, underscoring economic strength that tempers rate hike prospects despite elevated core PCE nowcasting near 3.7%. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% probability of no change at the June 16-17 FOMC, reflecting trader consensus on steady policy; however, tomorrow's April CPI release could shift sentiment if it confirms sticky prices, alongside geopolitical risks influencing energy costs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$144,574Data zakończenia
Oct 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, marking the third consecutive hold amid accelerating inflation—March CPI rose 3.3% year-over-year—and resilient labor conditions. Yesterday's April jobs report revealed 115,000 nonfarm payroll additions, exceeding modest expectations, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.3%, underscoring economic strength that tempers rate hike prospects despite elevated core PCE nowcasting near 3.7%. CME FedWatch Tool implies over 95% probability of no change at the June 16-17 FOMC, reflecting trader consensus on steady policy; however, tomorrow's April CPI release could shift sentiment if it confirms sticky prices, alongside geopolitical risks influencing energy costs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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