Traders assign a 99.6% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting because new Chair Kevin Warsh has aligned the committee around holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid sticky PCE inflation near 3.8% and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate. Recent data releases, including April job openings at 7.6 million and solid first-quarter GDP, have reinforced the case for policy continuity rather than immediate shifts, reducing internal divisions compared with the four dissents recorded in April. The unanimous outcome reflects broad agreement on the current monetary policy stance versus forward guidance. A sudden deterioration in labor market indicators or an escalation in geopolitical energy price pressures ahead of the July 28-29 meeting could still introduce dissent if projections diverge sharply.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 99.6%
1 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$61,442 Wol.
$61,442 Wol.
Jun 17, 2026
0
Yes
1
No
2
No
3
No
4+
No
0 99.6%
1 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$61,442 Wol.
$61,442 Wol.
Jun 17, 2026
0
$24,133 Wol.
Yes
1
$4,193 Wol.
No
2
$1,998 Wol.
No
3
$3,166 Wol.
No
4+
$27,953 Wol.
No
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 99.6% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting because new Chair Kevin Warsh has aligned the committee around holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid sticky PCE inflation near 3.8% and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate. Recent data releases, including April job openings at 7.6 million and solid first-quarter GDP, have reinforced the case for policy continuity rather than immediate shifts, reducing internal divisions compared with the four dissents recorded in April. The unanimous outcome reflects broad agreement on the current monetary policy stance versus forward guidance. A sudden deterioration in labor market indicators or an escalation in geopolitical energy price pressures ahead of the July 28-29 meeting could still introduce dissent if projections diverge sharply.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$61,442Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 99.6% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting because new Chair Kevin Warsh has aligned the committee around holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid sticky PCE inflation near 3.8% and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate. Recent data releases, including April job openings at 7.6 million and solid first-quarter GDP, have reinforced the case for policy continuity rather than immediate shifts, reducing internal divisions compared with the four dissents recorded in April. The unanimous outcome reflects broad agreement on the current monetary policy stance versus forward guidance. A sudden deterioration in labor market indicators or an escalation in geopolitical energy price pressures ahead of the July 28-29 meeting could still introduce dissent if projections diverge sharply.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for June 16-17, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on June 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$61,442Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Traders assign a 99.6% implied probability to zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting because new Chair Kevin Warsh has aligned the committee around holding the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid sticky PCE inflation near 3.8% and a stable 4.3% unemployment rate. Recent data releases, including April job openings at 7.6 million and solid first-quarter GDP, have reinforced the case for policy continuity rather than immediate shifts, reducing internal divisions compared with the four dissents recorded in April. The unanimous outcome reflects broad agreement on the current monetary policy stance versus forward guidance. A sudden deterioration in labor market indicators or an escalation in geopolitical energy price pressures ahead of the July 28-29 meeting could still introduce dissent if projections diverge sharply.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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