Aurora Gaming's recent dominance at PGL Wallachia Season 2 and BetBoom Dacha, paired with Tundra Esports' consistent top-four finishes in majors like DreamLeague S23 and TI 2024, has traders viewing them as near-equals alongside Team Yandex's rising form through qualifier sweeps and roster tweaks featuring ex-Spirit talent. This tight top-three cluster at 27-31.5% implied probabilities underscores the Dota 2 scene's volatility, where patch balances, draft advantages, and bracket luck often decide outcomes among these powerhouses with proven laning and teamfight edges. No major roster upheavals or scandals have emerged, sustaining trader confidence in their parity ahead of group stage draws.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAurora Gaming 41%
Team Yandex 30%
Tundra Esports 27%
Xtreme Gaming 7.5%
$14,239 Vol.
$14,239 Vol.

Aurora Gaming
32%

Team Yandex
26%

Tundra Esports
30%

Xtreme Gaming
8%

Team Spirit
17%

Team Falcons
12%

MOUZ
8%

BetBoom Team
4%

GamerLegion
3%

Virtus.pro
3%

PARIVISION
2%

paiN Gaming
2%

REKONIX
2%

OG
1%

Nigma Galaxy
1%

Yakult Brothers
1%
Aurora Gaming 41%
Team Yandex 30%
Tundra Esports 27%
Xtreme Gaming 7.5%
$14,239 Vol.
$14,239 Vol.

Aurora Gaming
32%

Team Yandex
26%

Tundra Esports
30%

Xtreme Gaming
8%

Team Spirit
17%

Team Falcons
12%

MOUZ
8%

BetBoom Team
4%

GamerLegion
3%

Virtus.pro
3%

PARIVISION
2%

paiN Gaming
2%

REKONIX
2%

OG
1%

Nigma Galaxy
1%

Yakult Brothers
1%
If this tournament is postponed after April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://www.esl-one.com/birmingham or https://esl.com/events); however, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/dota2/ESL_One/Birmingham/2026) may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aurora Gaming's recent dominance at PGL Wallachia Season 2 and BetBoom Dacha, paired with Tundra Esports' consistent top-four finishes in majors like DreamLeague S23 and TI 2024, has traders viewing them as near-equals alongside Team Yandex's rising form through qualifier sweeps and roster tweaks featuring ex-Spirit talent. This tight top-three cluster at 27-31.5% implied probabilities underscores the Dota 2 scene's volatility, where patch balances, draft advantages, and bracket luck often decide outcomes among these powerhouses with proven laning and teamfight edges. No major roster upheavals or scandals have emerged, sustaining trader confidence in their parity ahead of group stage draws.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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