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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

Market icon
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

Alexander Volkanovski 53%

Jean Silva 37%

Lerone Murphy 30.3%

Movsar Evloev 12%

Polymarket
NEW

Alexander Volkanovski 53%

Jean Silva 37%

Lerone Murphy 30.3%

Movsar Evloev 12%

Polymarket
NEW

Alexander Volkanovski

$787 Vol.

41%

Jean Silva

$0 Vol.

37%

Lerone Murphy

$1,299 Vol.

30%

Movsar Evloev

$4,394 Vol.

23%

Steve Garcia

$0 Vol.

3%

Arnold Allen

$0 Vol.

1%

Aljamain Sterling

$338 Vol.

1%

Youssef Zalal

$0 Vol.

1%

Brian Ortega

$451 Vol.

1%

Yair Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

<1%

Diego Lopes

$482 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski leads trader consensus as reigning UFC featherweight champion after his unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in late January, showcasing veteran poise and cardio in a rematch that solidified his grip on the division. Lerone Murphy holds strong at second despite a gritty majority decision loss to undefeated Movsar Evloev in the UFC London main event last weekend—where Murphy tore his hip flexor late but impressed with striking volume—reflecting bettors' faith in his knockout power and prior unbeaten streak. Evloev's hard-fought 20-0 milestone and immediate title callout, backed by Dana White, plus Volkanovski's recent challenge, boost his positioning, while Jean Silva's rapid rise via finishes, including a big UFC 324 jump to top-six contention, fuels upset potential amid an open path to late-2026 defenses.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$7,751
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski leads trader consensus as reigning UFC featherweight champion after his unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in late January, showcasing veteran poise and cardio in a rematch that solidified his grip on the division. Lerone Murphy holds strong at second despite a gritty majority decision loss to undefeated Movsar Evloev in the UFC London main event last weekend—where Murphy tore his hip flexor late but impressed with striking volume—reflecting bettors' faith in his knockout power and prior unbeaten streak. Evloev's hard-fought 20-0 milestone and immediate title callout, backed by Dana White, plus Volkanovski's recent challenge, boost his positioning, while Jean Silva's rapid rise via finishes, including a big UFC 324 jump to top-six contention, fuels upset potential amid an open path to late-2026 defenses.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$7,751
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 41%, followed by "Lerone Murphy" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lerone Murphy" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.