Trader consensus heavily favors LCK at 68.5% implied probability for the MSI 2026 winning region, driven by South Korea's sustained international dominance highlighted by T1's Worlds 2024 grand finals victory over LPL's Bilibili Gaming and Gen.G's MSI 2024 title win. LPL holds a solid 24.5% as the primary challenger, bolstered by consistent deep runs like BLG's runner-up finish and TES's semifinal appearance last fall, though recent LCK Spring 2025 splits saw Korean squads like Hanwha Life Esports and Gen.G reclaim domestic supremacy amid roster stability. LEC's 5.1% reflects G2's top-8 Worlds exit and Europe's ongoing struggles against Eastern meta adaptations, while LCS (2.3%), PCS (1.3%), and CBLOL (0.7%) trail due to minimal international contention in recent majors and weaker split performances. Ongoing Summer 2025 playoffs could shift sentiment if upsets emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLCK (South Korea) 68%
LPL (China) 25%
LEC (Europe / EMEA) 5.8%
LCS (North America) 2.2%
$30,678 Vol.
$30,678 Vol.
LCK (South Korea)
68%
LPL (China)
25%
LEC (Europe / EMEA)
6%
LCS (North America)
2%
LCP (Asia-Pacific)
1%
CBLOL (Brazil)
1%
LCK (South Korea) 68%
LPL (China) 25%
LEC (Europe / EMEA) 5.8%
LCS (North America) 2.2%
$30,678 Vol.
$30,678 Vol.
LCK (South Korea)
68%
LPL (China)
25%
LEC (Europe / EMEA)
6%
LCS (North America)
2%
LCP (Asia-Pacific)
1%
CBLOL (Brazil)
1%
If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Regions counted in MSI 2026:
- LCK (South Korea)
- LPL (China)
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)
- LCP (Asia-Pacific)
- LCS (North America)
- CBLOL (Brazil)
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Regions counted in MSI 2026:
- LCK (South Korea)
- LPL (China)
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)
- LCP (Asia-Pacific)
- LCS (North America)
- CBLOL (Brazil)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors LCK at 68.5% implied probability for the MSI 2026 winning region, driven by South Korea's sustained international dominance highlighted by T1's Worlds 2024 grand finals victory over LPL's Bilibili Gaming and Gen.G's MSI 2024 title win. LPL holds a solid 24.5% as the primary challenger, bolstered by consistent deep runs like BLG's runner-up finish and TES's semifinal appearance last fall, though recent LCK Spring 2025 splits saw Korean squads like Hanwha Life Esports and Gen.G reclaim domestic supremacy amid roster stability. LEC's 5.1% reflects G2's top-8 Worlds exit and Europe's ongoing struggles against Eastern meta adaptations, while LCS (2.3%), PCS (1.3%), and CBLOL (0.7%) trail due to minimal international contention in recent majors and weaker split performances. Ongoing Summer 2025 playoffs could shift sentiment if upsets emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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