Trader consensus heavily favors San Antonio Spurs forward Keldon Johnson at 70% implied probability for NBA Sixth Man of the Year, driven by his unwavering reserve role in all 75 games this 2025-26 season, averaging 13.1 points and 5.3 rebounds off the bench at 53% field goal efficiency and 38% from three. His sacrifice from the starting lineup has fueled Spurs momentum amid their strong late-season push, with coach endorsements and Johnson's own recent pitch—"How can you not say I'm the Sixth Man?"—solidifying voter sentiment over the past week. Trailing challengers like Jonathan Kuminga (4.5%) and defending contender Naz Reid (3.2%) lag due to fewer consistent bench minutes and slightly lower impact metrics, while rookies Jared McCain (3.5%) and Reed Sheppard (2.6%) show promise but lack Johnson's volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedKeldon Johnson 66.3%
Jonathan Kuminga 4.5%
Jared McCain 3.4%
Naz Reid 3.4%
$155,839 Vol.
$155,839 Vol.
Keldon Johnson
61%
Jonathan Kuminga
5%
Jared McCain
3%
Naz Reid
3%
Santi Aldama
3%
Reed Sheppard
3%
Payton Pritchard
2%
Jordan Clarkson
2%
Obi Toppin
2%
Caris LeVert
2%
Donte DiVincenzo
2%
DeAndre Hunter
2%
Miles McBride
2%
John Collins
2%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
1%
Onyeka Okongwu
1%
Anfernee Simons
1%
Tari Eason
1%
Gradey Dick
1%
Jerami Grant
1%
Norman Powell
1%
Zacharie Risacher
<1%
Aaron Wiggins
<1%
Collin Sexton
<1%
Nikola Jovic
<1%
Bobby Portis
<1%
Ty Jerome
<1%
P.J. Washington
<1%
Bradley Beal
<1%
T.J. McConnell
<1%
Keldon Johnson 66.3%
Jonathan Kuminga 4.5%
Jared McCain 3.4%
Naz Reid 3.4%
$155,839 Vol.
$155,839 Vol.
Keldon Johnson
61%
Jonathan Kuminga
5%
Jared McCain
3%
Naz Reid
3%
Santi Aldama
3%
Reed Sheppard
3%
Payton Pritchard
2%
Jordan Clarkson
2%
Obi Toppin
2%
Caris LeVert
2%
Donte DiVincenzo
2%
DeAndre Hunter
2%
Miles McBride
2%
John Collins
2%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
1%
Onyeka Okongwu
1%
Anfernee Simons
1%
Tari Eason
1%
Gradey Dick
1%
Jerami Grant
1%
Norman Powell
1%
Zacharie Risacher
<1%
Aaron Wiggins
<1%
Collin Sexton
<1%
Nikola Jovic
<1%
Bobby Portis
<1%
Ty Jerome
<1%
P.J. Washington
<1%
Bradley Beal
<1%
T.J. McConnell
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Sixth Man of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 1:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Sixth Man of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors San Antonio Spurs forward Keldon Johnson at 70% implied probability for NBA Sixth Man of the Year, driven by his unwavering reserve role in all 75 games this 2025-26 season, averaging 13.1 points and 5.3 rebounds off the bench at 53% field goal efficiency and 38% from three. His sacrifice from the starting lineup has fueled Spurs momentum amid their strong late-season push, with coach endorsements and Johnson's own recent pitch—"How can you not say I'm the Sixth Man?"—solidifying voter sentiment over the past week. Trailing challengers like Jonathan Kuminga (4.5%) and defending contender Naz Reid (3.2%) lag due to fewer consistent bench minutes and slightly lower impact metrics, while rookies Jared McCain (3.5%) and Reed Sheppard (2.6%) show promise but lack Johnson's volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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