Corinthians' flawless 2-0-2-0 group stage start in Copa Libertadores Group E, including a 2-0 away win at Platense and another clean-sheet victory, has driven trader consensus to 59.5% implied probability for a home win against Peñarol at Neo Química Arena. Peñarol's shaky continental form—0-1-1 with 1 point and a -1 goal difference after drawing Santa Fe and losing elsewhere—coupled with injuries to Javier Cabrera (cruciate ligament tear), Abel Hernández (knee), and Lucas Hernández (muscle), positions them as 17% underdogs despite prior head-to-head successes like their 2-0 win here in 2021 Sudamericana. The 25.5% draw pricing reflects soccer's unpredictability, both teams' muscle injury issues, and Peñarol's long travel, though Timão's recent domestic resilience (three wins, two draws in last five) bolsters their edge in this pivotal Round 3 clash.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf SC Corinthians Paulista wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 11:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://conmebollibertadores.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If SC Corinthians Paulista wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 11:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://conmebollibertadores.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Corinthians' flawless 2-0-2-0 group stage start in Copa Libertadores Group E, including a 2-0 away win at Platense and another clean-sheet victory, has driven trader consensus to 59.5% implied probability for a home win against Peñarol at Neo Química Arena. Peñarol's shaky continental form—0-1-1 with 1 point and a -1 goal difference after drawing Santa Fe and losing elsewhere—coupled with injuries to Javier Cabrera (cruciate ligament tear), Abel Hernández (knee), and Lucas Hernández (muscle), positions them as 17% underdogs despite prior head-to-head successes like their 2-0 win here in 2021 Sudamericana. The 25.5% draw pricing reflects soccer's unpredictability, both teams' muscle injury issues, and Peñarol's long travel, though Timão's recent domestic resilience (three wins, two draws in last five) bolsters their edge in this pivotal Round 3 clash.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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