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Montaigne

가입일 Feb 2026·31 조회수

Nothing is so firmly believed as what we least know.

$161.9K

포지션 가치

$4,524.88

최대 수익

160

예측

손익

$3,595.46
Polymarket

지난 하루

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 50¢
100,161.0 주
$81,280.65$31,200.15 (62.3%)
icon for Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 50¢
100,161.0 주
$18,880.35-$31,200.15 (-62.3%)
icon for Netanyahu out by June 30?

Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 84¢
14,999.9 주
$14,587.42$1,987.80 (15.78%)
icon for Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 91.9¢
10,845.6 주
$10,601.55$633.66 (6.36%)
icon for US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 79.6¢
10,573.1 주
$10,314.10$1,898.34 (22.56%)
icon for Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

No 85.6¢
5,028.4 주
$4,945.45$639.48 (14.85%)
icon for Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 80.2¢
3,100.0 주
$2,805.45$320.54 (12.9%)
icon for Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 66.3¢
2,560.0 주
$2,111.97$414.33 (24.41%)
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 78.4¢
3,147.0 주
$1,777.75-$690.08 (-27.96%)
icon for GTA VI released before June 2026?

GTA VI released before June 2026?

No 97.7¢
1,765.8 주
$1,763.10$38.41 (2.23%)
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 66.8¢
12,703.7 주
$1,676.88-$6,807.92 (-80.24%)
icon for Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

No 77.5¢
1,462.1 주
$1,422.59$290.00 (25.6%)
icon for Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 82.7¢
1,222.2 주
$1,154.99$144.76 (14.33%)
icon for Iran leadership change by May 31?

Iran leadership change by May 31?

No 87.7¢
1,150.1 주
$1,131.17$122.86 (12.18%)
icon for Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 84¢
1,169.5 주
$1,058.38$76.02 (7.74%)
icon for Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

No 92.4¢
933.5 주
$918.59$56.08 (6.5%)
icon for Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 95.7¢
619.1 주
$587.84-$4.47 (-0.75%)
icon for Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

No 35.3¢
1,678.4 주
$478.17-$114.55 (-19.33%)
icon for Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 95.4¢
400.0 주
$394.19$12.42 (3.25%)
icon for Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 94.4¢
420.0 주
$366.87-$29.45 (-7.43%)