Traders have converged on Anthropic at near-certain implied probability because its Claude Opus series, including the late-May update to Opus 4.8, posted dominant results on key benchmarks such as agentic coding tasks exceeding 80 percent on SWE-Bench while delivering strong multidisciplinary reasoning and safety metrics. This performance edge over competing large language models from Google and others solidified the lead in the final weeks of May. The outcome remains subject to the precise evaluation criteria at month-end, so an unexpected late benchmark shift or revision in resolution rules could still alter the result, though current trader positioning reflects overwhelming evidence from verified capability demonstrations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Mistral <1%
Meituan <1%
$809,798 거래량
$809,798 거래량
2026.05.31
No
Mistral
No
Meituan
No
Anthropic
Yes
OpenAI
No
ByteDance
No
Baidu
No
DeepSeek
No
Microsoft
No
Alibaba
No
Amazon
No
Meta
No
xAI
No
Moonshot
No
Z.ai
No
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Mistral <1%
Meituan <1%
$809,798 거래량
$809,798 거래량
2026.05.31
$95,880 거래량
No
Mistral
$28,712 거래량
No
Meituan
$35,139 거래량
No
Anthropic
$91,569 거래량
Yes
OpenAI
$47,891 거래량
No
ByteDance
$39,994 거래량
No
Baidu
$40,096 거래량
No
DeepSeek
$38,584 거래량
No
Microsoft
$27,718 거래량
No
Alibaba
$84,253 거래량
No
Amazon
$31,179 거래량
No
Meta
$110,701 거래량
No
xAI
$70,253 거래량
No
Moonshot
$30,960 거래량
No
Z.ai
$36,868 거래량
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders have converged on Anthropic at near-certain implied probability because its Claude Opus series, including the late-May update to Opus 4.8, posted dominant results on key benchmarks such as agentic coding tasks exceeding 80 percent on SWE-Bench while delivering strong multidisciplinary reasoning and safety metrics. This performance edge over competing large language models from Google and others solidified the lead in the final weeks of May. The outcome remains subject to the precise evaluation criteria at month-end, so an unexpected late benchmark shift or revision in resolution rules could still alter the result, though current trader positioning reflects overwhelming evidence from verified capability demonstrations.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
거래량
$809,798종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders have converged on Anthropic at near-certain implied probability because its Claude Opus series, including the late-May update to Opus 4.8, posted dominant results on key benchmarks such as agentic coding tasks exceeding 80 percent on SWE-Bench while delivering strong multidisciplinary reasoning and safety metrics. This performance edge over competing large language models from Google and others solidified the lead in the final weeks of May. The outcome remains subject to the precise evaluation criteria at month-end, so an unexpected late benchmark shift or revision in resolution rules could still alter the result, though current trader positioning reflects overwhelming evidence from verified capability demonstrations.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
거래량
$809,798종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Traders have converged on Anthropic at near-certain implied probability because its Claude Opus series, including the late-May update to Opus 4.8, posted dominant results on key benchmarks such as agentic coding tasks exceeding 80 percent on SWE-Bench while delivering strong multidisciplinary reasoning and safety metrics. This performance edge over competing large language models from Google and others solidified the lead in the final weeks of May. The outcome remains subject to the precise evaluation criteria at month-end, so an unexpected late benchmark shift or revision in resolution rules could still alter the result, though current trader positioning reflects overwhelming evidence from verified capability demonstrations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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