Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 remains unreleased as of mid-April 2026, following the January launch of Kimi K2.5—a 1-trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts (MoE) multimodal model that achieved top benchmarks like 78.5 on MMMU-Pro and 76.8 on SWE-Bench Verified, positioning it competitively against GPT-5.2 and Claude 4.5 Opus via agent swarm capabilities for parallel task orchestration. A $500 million Series C round in early January explicitly funded K3 development and compute expansion amid intensifying Chinese AI rivalry with DeepSeek and GLM labs. Website metadata spotting K3 in early April and an early access program for unreleased models have sparked trader buzz, though no public API or product rollout has occurred; watch for surprise drops or GTC announcements as resolution nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트April 30
6%
June 30
41%
$3,284 거래량
April 30
6%
June 30
41%
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI's Kimi K3 remains unreleased as of mid-April 2026, following the January launch of Kimi K2.5—a 1-trillion-parameter mixture-of-experts (MoE) multimodal model that achieved top benchmarks like 78.5 on MMMU-Pro and 76.8 on SWE-Bench Verified, positioning it competitively against GPT-5.2 and Claude 4.5 Opus via agent swarm capabilities for parallel task orchestration. A $500 million Series C round in early January explicitly funded K3 development and compute expansion amid intensifying Chinese AI rivalry with DeepSeek and GLM labs. Website metadata spotting K3 in early April and an early access program for unreleased models have sparked trader buzz, though no public API or product rollout has occurred; watch for surprise drops or GTC announcements as resolution nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문