Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model holds the #1 spot on the LMArena.ai Text Arena leaderboard with a 1505 Elo score, dominating the top four positions alongside Claude Opus 4.6 variants, reflecting trader consensus on its superior performance in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks following recent releases in early April 2026. Meta's newly debuted Muse Spark sits close at #5 (1496 Elo), while Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro preview (#6) and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 High (#9) trail amid intense competition from xAI's Grok 4.20 betas. Chinese open models like Z.ai's GLM-5.1 have surged in sub-leaderboards but lag overall. With two months until resolution on June 30, anticipated launches—such as OpenAI's GPT-5.5, Google Gemini 3 full versions, or Anthropic Claude 4.8—could shift the frontier, as historical patterns show monthly leaderboard flips driven by benchmark gains and capability demos.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,433,598 거래량
2026.06.30
OpenAI
30%
xAI
13%
딥시크
7%
알리바바
7%
Z.ai
6%
Nvidia
5%
메타
10%
바이두
4%
Mistral
4%
메이투안
3%
$1,433,598 거래량
OpenAI
$356,433 거래량
30%
xAI
$542,823 거래량
13%
딥시크
$228,245 거래량
7%
알리바바
$5,019 거래량
7%
Z.ai
$4,663 거래량
6%
Nvidia
$5,973 거래량
5%
메타
$14,991 거래량
10%
바이두
$2,015 거래량
4%
Mistral
$12,694 거래량
4%
메이투안
$2,772 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model holds the #1 spot on the LMArena.ai Text Arena leaderboard with a 1505 Elo score, dominating the top four positions alongside Claude Opus 4.6 variants, reflecting trader consensus on its superior performance in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks following recent releases in early April 2026. Meta's newly debuted Muse Spark sits close at #5 (1496 Elo), while Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro preview (#6) and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 High (#9) trail amid intense competition from xAI's Grok 4.20 betas. Chinese open models like Z.ai's GLM-5.1 have surged in sub-leaderboards but lag overall. With two months until resolution on June 30, anticipated launches—such as OpenAI's GPT-5.5, Google Gemini 3 full versions, or Anthropic Claude 4.8—could shift the frontier, as historical patterns show monthly leaderboard flips driven by benchmark gains and capability demos.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
마켓 개설일: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
거래량
$1,433,598종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model holds the #1 spot on the LMArena.ai Text Arena leaderboard with a 1505 Elo score, dominating the top four positions alongside Claude Opus 4.6 variants, reflecting trader consensus on its superior performance in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks following recent releases in early April 2026. Meta's newly debuted Muse Spark sits close at #5 (1496 Elo), while Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro preview (#6) and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 High (#9) trail amid intense competition from xAI's Grok 4.20 betas. Chinese open models like Z.ai's GLM-5.1 have surged in sub-leaderboards but lag overall. With two months until resolution on June 30, anticipated launches—such as OpenAI's GPT-5.5, Google Gemini 3 full versions, or Anthropic Claude 4.8—could shift the frontier, as historical patterns show monthly leaderboard flips driven by benchmark gains and capability demos.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
거래량
$1,433,598종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model holds the #1 spot on the LMArena.ai Text Arena leaderboard with a 1505 Elo score, dominating the top four positions alongside Claude Opus 4.6 variants, reflecting trader consensus on its superior performance in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks following recent releases in early April 2026. Meta's newly debuted Muse Spark sits close at #5 (1496 Elo), while Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro preview (#6) and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 High (#9) trail amid intense competition from xAI's Grok 4.20 betas. Chinese open models like Z.ai's GLM-5.1 have surged in sub-leaderboards but lag overall. With two months until resolution on June 30, anticipated launches—such as OpenAI's GPT-5.5, Google Gemini 3 full versions, or Anthropic Claude 4.8—could shift the frontier, as historical patterns show monthly leaderboard flips driven by benchmark gains and capability demos.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문