SpaceX’s official SEC prospectus filing on May 20, 2026, explicitly naming Nasdaq ticker SPCX as the planned listing symbol has anchored trader consensus at a 97% implied probability for the “Other (incl $SPCX)” outcome. The filing follows a confidential submission in April and sets the stage for a roadshow beginning around June 8, positioning the company for a potential mid-June debut at a valuation exceeding $1.5 trillion. This official disclosure, combined with consistent reporting on the chosen symbol and absence of any competing claims, has driven the overwhelming market-implied odds. While regulatory delays or last-minute amendments remain possible in any IPO process, the public prospectus leaves little room for deviation from SPCX absent unforeseen developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트기타(포함 $SPCX) 97.0%
$X <1%
$SPAX <1%
$SEX <1%
$6,759,527 거래량
$6,759,527 거래량
기타(포함 $SPCX)
97%
$X
1%
$SPAX
<1%
$SEX
<1%
$SX
<1%
$MARS
<1%
$SPACE
<1%
$STAR
<1%
$SPC
<1%
기타(포함 $SPCX) 97.0%
$X <1%
$SPAX <1%
$SEX <1%
$6,759,527 거래량
$6,759,527 거래량
기타(포함 $SPCX)
97%
$X
1%
$SPAX
<1%
$SEX
<1%
$SX
<1%
$MARS
<1%
$SPACE
<1%
$STAR
<1%
$SPC
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s official SEC prospectus filing on May 20, 2026, explicitly naming Nasdaq ticker SPCX as the planned listing symbol has anchored trader consensus at a 97% implied probability for the “Other (incl $SPCX)” outcome. The filing follows a confidential submission in April and sets the stage for a roadshow beginning around June 8, positioning the company for a potential mid-June debut at a valuation exceeding $1.5 trillion. This official disclosure, combined with consistent reporting on the chosen symbol and absence of any competing claims, has driven the overwhelming market-implied odds. While regulatory delays or last-minute amendments remain possible in any IPO process, the public prospectus leaves little room for deviation from SPCX absent unforeseen developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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