Google's May 19, 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would launch sometime in June—following the immediate availability of the lighter, benchmark-competitive 3.5 Flash—drives the tightly clustered trader odds across mid-to-late June dates. With no exact release window or phased rollout details disclosed beyond a general "next month" statement from Sundar Pichai, markets reflect uncertainty over internal testing timelines, integration readiness for the Gemini app and Search, and potential competitive responses from rival large language models. The 3.5 Flash's strong performance on agentic and coding tasks at lower cost has heightened expectations for the flagship Pro variant, yet traders price in typical Google delays around developer conferences or earnings cycles. Any credible reporting on early access for Ultra subscribers or benchmark leaks could quickly shift probabilities among the leading June outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 24일 24%
6월 30일 23%
6월 18일 21%
6월 9일 15%
신규
신규
2026.06.30
6월 26일
13%
6월 13일
2%
6월 23일
8%
6월 24일
24%
6월 2일 또는 그 이전
3%
6월 8일
3%
6월 10일
15%
6월 20일
3%
6월 3일
3%
6월 4일
6%
6월 5일
5%
6월 6일
2%
6월 15일
3%
6월 21일
3%
6월 25일
37%
6월 7일
2%
6월 9일
15%
6월 11일
9%
6월 12일
9%
6월 14일
2%
6월 16일
6%
6월 17일
7%
6월 18일
21%
6월 19일
3%
6월 30일
23%
6월 22일
6%
6월 27일
4%
6월 28일
1%
6월 29일
14%
6월 30일까지 미출시
3%
6월 24일 24%
6월 30일 23%
6월 18일 21%
6월 9일 15%
신규
신규
2026.06.30
6월 26일
$156 거래량
13%
6월 13일
$259 거래량
2%
6월 23일
$130 거래량
8%
6월 24일
$148 거래량
24%
6월 2일 또는 그 이전
$148 거래량
3%
6월 8일
$172 거래량
3%
6월 10일
$162 거래량
15%
6월 20일
$229 거래량
3%
6월 3일
$154 거래량
3%
6월 4일
$166 거래량
6%
6월 5일
$225 거래량
5%
6월 6일
$246 거래량
2%
6월 15일
$128 거래량
3%
6월 21일
$164 거래량
3%
6월 25일
$130 거래량
37%
6월 7일
$238 거래량
2%
6월 9일
$108 거래량
15%
6월 11일
$155 거래량
9%
6월 12일
$176 거래량
9%
6월 14일
$205 거래량
2%
6월 16일
$163 거래량
6%
6월 17일
$130 거래량
7%
6월 18일
$130 거래량
21%
6월 19일
$170 거래량
3%
6월 30일
$130 거래량
23%
6월 22일
$163 거래량
6%
6월 27일
$164 거래량
4%
6월 28일
$283 거래량
1%
6월 29일
$98 거래량
14%
6월 30일까지 미출시
$188 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 19, 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would launch sometime in June—following the immediate availability of the lighter, benchmark-competitive 3.5 Flash—drives the tightly clustered trader odds across mid-to-late June dates. With no exact release window or phased rollout details disclosed beyond a general "next month" statement from Sundar Pichai, markets reflect uncertainty over internal testing timelines, integration readiness for the Gemini app and Search, and potential competitive responses from rival large language models. The 3.5 Flash's strong performance on agentic and coding tasks at lower cost has heightened expectations for the flagship Pro variant, yet traders price in typical Google delays around developer conferences or earnings cycles. Any credible reporting on early access for Ultra subscribers or benchmark leaks could quickly shift probabilities among the leading June outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
거래량
$5,028종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 19, 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would launch sometime in June—following the immediate availability of the lighter, benchmark-competitive 3.5 Flash—drives the tightly clustered trader odds across mid-to-late June dates. With no exact release window or phased rollout details disclosed beyond a general "next month" statement from Sundar Pichai, markets reflect uncertainty over internal testing timelines, integration readiness for the Gemini app and Search, and potential competitive responses from rival large language models. The 3.5 Flash's strong performance on agentic and coding tasks at lower cost has heightened expectations for the flagship Pro variant, yet traders price in typical Google delays around developer conferences or earnings cycles. Any credible reporting on early access for Ultra subscribers or benchmark leaks could quickly shift probabilities among the leading June outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$5,028종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's May 19, 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would launch sometime in June—following the immediate availability of the lighter, benchmark-competitive 3.5 Flash—drives the tightly clustered trader odds across mid-to-late June dates. With no exact release window or phased rollout details disclosed beyond a general "next month" statement from Sundar Pichai, markets reflect uncertainty over internal testing timelines, integration readiness for the Gemini app and Search, and potential competitive responses from rival large language models. The 3.5 Flash's strong performance on agentic and coding tasks at lower cost has heightened expectations for the flagship Pro variant, yet traders price in typical Google delays around developer conferences or earnings cycles. Any credible reporting on early access for Ultra subscribers or benchmark leaks could quickly shift probabilities among the leading June outcomes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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