Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic at 100% implied probability for holding the #3 spot on the LM Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) at month-end, as Claude Opus 4.6 sits firmly at #3 with a 1497 Elo score—trailing only two superior Anthropic variants, Claude Opus 4.7-thinking (1503) and 4.6-thinking (1502). This dominance stems from Anthropic's April releases of Claude 4.6 and 4.7 models, which excelled in crowdsourced battles emphasizing substantive content over stylistic flair, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #5 (1493). With the leaderboard updated just 22 hours ago and the market resolving imminently, a late-breaking model update from OpenAI, Google, or xAI could theoretically displace it, though tight timelines make such shifts improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Anthropic 100.0%
구글 <1%
알리바바 <1%
바이트댄스 <1%
$137,322 거래량
$137,322 거래량
2026.04.30
구글
아니오
알리바바
아니오
바이트댄스
아니오
Moonshot
아니오
Z.ai
아니오
DeepSeek
아니오
마이크로소프트
아니오
Anthropic
예
OpenAI
아니오
xAI
아니오
바이두
아니오
아마존
아니오
미스트랄
아니오
미투안
아니오
Meta
아니오
Anthropic 100.0%
구글 <1%
알리바바 <1%
바이트댄스 <1%
$137,322 거래량
$137,322 거래량
2026.04.30
구글
$10,090 거래량
아니오
알리바바
$3,620 거래량
아니오
바이트댄스
$3,795 거래량
아니오
Moonshot
$6,791 거래량
아니오
Z.ai
$6,382 거래량
아니오
DeepSeek
$9,593 거래량
아니오
마이크로소프트
$1,197 거래량
아니오
Anthropic
$42,094 거래량
예
OpenAI
$16,493 거래량
아니오
xAI
$8,278 거래량
아니오
바이두
$4,255 거래량
아니오
아마존
$5,670 거래량
아니오
미스트랄
$3,713 거래량
아니오
미투안
$2,997 거래량
아니오
Meta
$12,354 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic at 100% implied probability for holding the #3 spot on the LM Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) at month-end, as Claude Opus 4.6 sits firmly at #3 with a 1497 Elo score—trailing only two superior Anthropic variants, Claude Opus 4.7-thinking (1503) and 4.6-thinking (1502). This dominance stems from Anthropic's April releases of Claude 4.6 and 4.7 models, which excelled in crowdsourced battles emphasizing substantive content over stylistic flair, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #5 (1493). With the leaderboard updated just 22 hours ago and the market resolving imminently, a late-breaking model update from OpenAI, Google, or xAI could theoretically displace it, though tight timelines make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
거래량
$137,322종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 예
이의 없음
최종 결과: 예
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic at 100% implied probability for holding the #3 spot on the LM Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) at month-end, as Claude Opus 4.6 sits firmly at #3 with a 1497 Elo score—trailing only two superior Anthropic variants, Claude Opus 4.7-thinking (1503) and 4.6-thinking (1502). This dominance stems from Anthropic's April releases of Claude 4.6 and 4.7 models, which excelled in crowdsourced battles emphasizing substantive content over stylistic flair, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #5 (1493). With the leaderboard updated just 22 hours ago and the market resolving imminently, a late-breaking model update from OpenAI, Google, or xAI could theoretically displace it, though tight timelines make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
거래량
$137,322종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 예
이의 없음
최종 결과: 예
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic at 100% implied probability for holding the #3 spot on the LM Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) at month-end, as Claude Opus 4.6 sits firmly at #3 with a 1497 Elo score—trailing only two superior Anthropic variants, Claude Opus 4.7-thinking (1503) and 4.6-thinking (1502). This dominance stems from Anthropic's April releases of Claude 4.6 and 4.7 models, which excelled in crowdsourced battles emphasizing substantive content over stylistic flair, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #5 (1493). With the leaderboard updated just 22 hours ago and the market resolving imminently, a late-breaking model update from OpenAI, Google, or xAI could theoretically displace it, though tight timelines make such shifts improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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