Market icon

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Market icon

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$340,491 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$340,491 Vol.

On January 8, 2026, a nationwide and ongoing internet blackout began in Iran amid continuing protests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “internet access is restored” means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have recovered to at least 20% of the prior 14-day baseline for a minimum of four consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart.

Only the first of the four consecutive qualifying hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir); however, in case the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
볼륨
$340,491
종료일
Jan 16, 2026
생성일
Jan 12, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
On January 8, 2026, a nationwide and ongoing internet blackout began in Iran amid continuing protests. This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “internet access is restored” means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have recovered to at least 20% of the prior 14-day baseline for a minimum of four consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart. Only the first of the four consecutive qualifying hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed. The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir); however, in case the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

제안된 결과: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

On January 8, 2026, a nationwide and ongoing internet blackout began in Iran amid continuing protests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “internet access is restored” means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have recovered to at least 20% of the prior 14-day baseline for a minimum of four consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart.

Only the first of the four consecutive qualifying hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir); however, in case the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
볼륨
$340,491
종료일
Jan 16, 2026
생성일
Jan 12, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
On January 8, 2026, a nationwide and ongoing internet blackout began in Iran amid continuing protests. This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by January 16, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “internet access is restored” means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have recovered to at least 20% of the prior 14-day baseline for a minimum of four consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart. Only the first of the four consecutive qualifying hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed. The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir); however, in case the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

제안된 결과: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?" has generated $340.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.