$19,807,823 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1월 8일
아니오
1월 9일
아니오
1월 10일
아니오
1월 11일
아니오
1월 12일
아니오
1월 31일
아니오
2월 15일
아니오
2월 28일
예
3월 31일
예
6월 30일
예
12월 31일
예
$19,807,823 Vol.
1월 8일
$101,670 Vol.
아니오
1월 9일
$125,989 Vol.
아니오
1월 10일
$343,644 Vol.
아니오
1월 11일
$434,750 Vol.
아니오
1월 12일
$837,265 Vol.
아니오
1월 31일
$6,455,319 Vol.
아니오
2월 15일
$2,803,268 Vol.
아니오
2월 28일
$5,854,950 Vol.
예
3월 31일
$1,516,236 Vol.
예
6월 30일
$751,859 Vol.
예
12월 31일
$582,875 Vol.
예
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US or Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US or Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US or Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US or Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
생성일: Jan 8, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
볼륨
$19,807,823종료일
Dec 31, 2026생성일
Jan 8, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...제안된 결과: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오

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