Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson (D) secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary for the solidly Democratic IL-01 district, spanning Chicago's South Side and extending southwest, reinforcing trader consensus at 93% implied probability for a Democratic House election winner on November 3. This commanding position stems from the district's deep-blue history—Jackson won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin amid consistent Democratic dominance—and the Republican nominee, business consultant Christian Maxwell, who emerged from a contested GOP primary lacking the resources or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this low-turnout, heavily partisan seat. While late-breaking scandals, Jackson's health issues, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift odds, structural barriers like incumbency advantage and favorable electoral math keep upside limited for Republicans.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$40,238 거래량
$40,238 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
5%
$40,238 거래량
$40,238 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$17,649 거래량
93%
공화당
$22,588 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson (D) secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary for the solidly Democratic IL-01 district, spanning Chicago's South Side and extending southwest, reinforcing trader consensus at 93% implied probability for a Democratic House election winner on November 3. This commanding position stems from the district's deep-blue history—Jackson won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin amid consistent Democratic dominance—and the Republican nominee, business consultant Christian Maxwell, who emerged from a contested GOP primary lacking the resources or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this low-turnout, heavily partisan seat. While late-breaking scandals, Jackson's health issues, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift odds, structural barriers like incumbency advantage and favorable electoral math keep upside limited for Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$40,238종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson (D) secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary for the solidly Democratic IL-01 district, spanning Chicago's South Side and extending southwest, reinforcing trader consensus at 93% implied probability for a Democratic House election winner on November 3. This commanding position stems from the district's deep-blue history—Jackson won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin amid consistent Democratic dominance—and the Republican nominee, business consultant Christian Maxwell, who emerged from a contested GOP primary lacking the resources or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this low-turnout, heavily partisan seat. While late-breaking scandals, Jackson's health issues, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift odds, structural barriers like incumbency advantage and favorable electoral math keep upside limited for Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$40,238종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson (D) secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 17, 2026, Illinois primary for the solidly Democratic IL-01 district, spanning Chicago's South Side and extending southwest, reinforcing trader consensus at 93% implied probability for a Democratic House election winner on November 3. This commanding position stems from the district's deep-blue history—Jackson won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin amid consistent Democratic dominance—and the Republican nominee, business consultant Christian Maxwell, who emerged from a contested GOP primary lacking the resources or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this low-turnout, heavily partisan seat. While late-breaking scandals, Jackson's health issues, or an overwhelming national Republican midterm wave could shift odds, structural barriers like incumbency advantage and favorable electoral math keep upside limited for Republicans.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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