The fragile Gaza ceasefire, now six months old following UN Security Council Resolution 2803 under the Trump administration's plan, faces ongoing violations including Israeli strikes killing over 700 since October 2025 and aid blockages exacerbating famine risks by mid-April 2026. Hamas received a recent ultimatum for phased disarmament amid stalled talks, while preparations for a multinational Gaza International Stabilization Force—potentially 5,000 troops from nations like Indonesia training in Jordan—remain tentative, with Israel insisting on veto power over participants and many countries hesitant due to escalation fears. Upcoming UN Security Council briefings on the Middle East and League of Arab States cooperation could influence deployment timelines, as trader consensus weighs diplomatic breakthroughs against persistent hostilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$489,282 거래량

4월 30일
2%

6월 30일
21%
$489,282 거래량

4월 30일
2%

6월 30일
21%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The fragile Gaza ceasefire, now six months old following UN Security Council Resolution 2803 under the Trump administration's plan, faces ongoing violations including Israeli strikes killing over 700 since October 2025 and aid blockages exacerbating famine risks by mid-April 2026. Hamas received a recent ultimatum for phased disarmament amid stalled talks, while preparations for a multinational Gaza International Stabilization Force—potentially 5,000 troops from nations like Indonesia training in Jordan—remain tentative, with Israel insisting on veto power over participants and many countries hesitant due to escalation fears. Upcoming UN Security Council briefings on the Middle East and League of Arab States cooperation could influence deployment timelines, as trader consensus weighs diplomatic breakthroughs against persistent hostilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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