Ongoing US-Iran indirect negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman with involvement from Pakistan and Turkey, center on extending a recent ceasefire, limiting Iran's nuclear program, and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Late May 2026 reports highlighted tentative progress toward a 60-day ceasefire extension and follow-on nuclear discussions, though Iranian confirmation remains pending and President Trump has signaled dissatisfaction with key proposals while editing terms on enriched uranium and maritime access. US participants have included Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, Jared Kushner, and Vice President JD Vance, with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi leading the opposing delegation; talks have alternated between indirect formats and limited direct elements in venues such as Muscat, Geneva, and Islamabad. VP Vance recently described the sides as "very close" to an agreement but noted remaining gaps, underscoring the role of backchannel messaging and regional diplomacy in shaping prospects for a next high-level meeting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,310,196 거래량
2026.06.30
도널드 트럼프
4%
마르코 루비오
8%
J.D. 밴스
16%
자레드 쿠슈너
20%
스티브 위트코프
23%
$1,310,196 거래량
도널드 트럼프
$247,136 거래량
4%
마르코 루비오
$107,476 거래량
8%
J.D. 밴스
$693,551 거래량
16%
자레드 쿠슈너
$141,933 거래량
20%
스티브 위트코프
$120,108 거래량
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran indirect negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman with involvement from Pakistan and Turkey, center on extending a recent ceasefire, limiting Iran's nuclear program, and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Late May 2026 reports highlighted tentative progress toward a 60-day ceasefire extension and follow-on nuclear discussions, though Iranian confirmation remains pending and President Trump has signaled dissatisfaction with key proposals while editing terms on enriched uranium and maritime access. US participants have included Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, Jared Kushner, and Vice President JD Vance, with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi leading the opposing delegation; talks have alternated between indirect formats and limited direct elements in venues such as Muscat, Geneva, and Islamabad. VP Vance recently described the sides as "very close" to an agreement but noted remaining gaps, underscoring the role of backchannel messaging and regional diplomacy in shaping prospects for a next high-level meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
거래량
$1,310,196종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran indirect negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman with involvement from Pakistan and Turkey, center on extending a recent ceasefire, limiting Iran's nuclear program, and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Late May 2026 reports highlighted tentative progress toward a 60-day ceasefire extension and follow-on nuclear discussions, though Iranian confirmation remains pending and President Trump has signaled dissatisfaction with key proposals while editing terms on enriched uranium and maritime access. US participants have included Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, Jared Kushner, and Vice President JD Vance, with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi leading the opposing delegation; talks have alternated between indirect formats and limited direct elements in venues such as Muscat, Geneva, and Islamabad. VP Vance recently described the sides as "very close" to an agreement but noted remaining gaps, underscoring the role of backchannel messaging and regional diplomacy in shaping prospects for a next high-level meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$1,310,196종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran indirect negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman with involvement from Pakistan and Turkey, center on extending a recent ceasefire, limiting Iran's nuclear program, and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Late May 2026 reports highlighted tentative progress toward a 60-day ceasefire extension and follow-on nuclear discussions, though Iranian confirmation remains pending and President Trump has signaled dissatisfaction with key proposals while editing terms on enriched uranium and maritime access. US participants have included Special Envoy Steve Witkoff, Jared Kushner, and Vice President JD Vance, with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi leading the opposing delegation; talks have alternated between indirect formats and limited direct elements in venues such as Muscat, Geneva, and Islamabad. VP Vance recently described the sides as "very close" to an agreement but noted remaining gaps, underscoring the role of backchannel messaging and regional diplomacy in shaping prospects for a next high-level meeting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문