Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following recent military actions and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, direct diplomatic talks occurred in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11, where Vice President JD Vance, senior advisor Jared Kushner, and special envoy Steve Witkoff met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf to discuss ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment limits, and Hormuz access. These negotiations yielded no comprehensive deal, prompting President Trump to signal potential resumption within days, though Iran's deputy foreign minister stated on April 18 no further meetings until a shared framework is agreed. Pakistani intermediaries continue efforts for additional rounds before April 30, amid ongoing enforcement of the blockade despite Iran's claim of reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects high probabilities for repeat US participants based on this precedent, with low odds for President Trump or Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveling abroad.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$290,672 거래량
2026.04.30
도널드 트럼프
13%
제이디 밴스
71%
마르코 루비오
13%
자레드 쿠슈너
78%
스티브 위트코프
79%
$290,672 거래량
도널드 트럼프
$233,102 거래량
13%
제이디 밴스
$23,740 거래량
71%
마르코 루비오
$14,232 거래량
13%
자레드 쿠슈너
$10,650 거래량
78%
스티브 위트코프
$9,733 거래량
79%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following recent military actions and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, direct diplomatic talks occurred in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11, where Vice President JD Vance, senior advisor Jared Kushner, and special envoy Steve Witkoff met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf to discuss ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment limits, and Hormuz access. These negotiations yielded no comprehensive deal, prompting President Trump to signal potential resumption within days, though Iran's deputy foreign minister stated on April 18 no further meetings until a shared framework is agreed. Pakistani intermediaries continue efforts for additional rounds before April 30, amid ongoing enforcement of the blockade despite Iran's claim of reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects high probabilities for repeat US participants based on this precedent, with low odds for President Trump or Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveling abroad.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
거래량
$290,672종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following recent military actions and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, direct diplomatic talks occurred in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11, where Vice President JD Vance, senior advisor Jared Kushner, and special envoy Steve Witkoff met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf to discuss ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment limits, and Hormuz access. These negotiations yielded no comprehensive deal, prompting President Trump to signal potential resumption within days, though Iran's deputy foreign minister stated on April 18 no further meetings until a shared framework is agreed. Pakistani intermediaries continue efforts for additional rounds before April 30, amid ongoing enforcement of the blockade despite Iran's claim of reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects high probabilities for repeat US participants based on this precedent, with low odds for President Trump or Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveling abroad.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$290,672종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened US-Iran tensions following recent military actions and a US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, direct diplomatic talks occurred in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11, where Vice President JD Vance, senior advisor Jared Kushner, and special envoy Steve Witkoff met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf to discuss ceasefire extension, uranium enrichment limits, and Hormuz access. These negotiations yielded no comprehensive deal, prompting President Trump to signal potential resumption within days, though Iran's deputy foreign minister stated on April 18 no further meetings until a shared framework is agreed. Pakistani intermediaries continue efforts for additional rounds before April 30, amid ongoing enforcement of the blockade despite Iran's claim of reopening the strait. Trader consensus reflects high probabilities for repeat US participants based on this precedent, with low odds for President Trump or Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveling abroad.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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