North Korea's accelerated ballistic missile testing in April 2026, including short-range launches on April 7-8 with cluster-bomb warheads, cruise missiles from a new destroyer on April 13 overseen by Kim Jong Un, and an unidentified ballistic missile eastward on April 18, has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on a test by April 30. This reflects Pyongyang's frequent violations of UN Security Council resolutions amid ongoing U.S.-South Korea joint military drills and its five-year nuclear-missile buildup, with multiple launches already this month signaling no de-escalation. While odds imply overwhelming probability, rare scenarios like a sudden diplomatic thaw or internal directive could prevent further activity, though historical patterns make this unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.04.30
신규
신규
2026.04.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's accelerated ballistic missile testing in April 2026, including short-range launches on April 7-8 with cluster-bomb warheads, cruise missiles from a new destroyer on April 13 overseen by Kim Jong Un, and an unidentified ballistic missile eastward on April 18, has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on a test by April 30. This reflects Pyongyang's frequent violations of UN Security Council resolutions amid ongoing U.S.-South Korea joint military drills and its five-year nuclear-missile buildup, with multiple launches already this month signaling no de-escalation. While odds imply overwhelming probability, rare scenarios like a sudden diplomatic thaw or internal directive could prevent further activity, though historical patterns make this unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
거래량
$4,306종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea's accelerated ballistic missile testing in April 2026, including short-range launches on April 7-8 with cluster-bomb warheads, cruise missiles from a new destroyer on April 13 overseen by Kim Jong Un, and an unidentified ballistic missile eastward on April 18, has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on a test by April 30. This reflects Pyongyang's frequent violations of UN Security Council resolutions amid ongoing U.S.-South Korea joint military drills and its five-year nuclear-missile buildup, with multiple launches already this month signaling no de-escalation. While odds imply overwhelming probability, rare scenarios like a sudden diplomatic thaw or internal directive could prevent further activity, though historical patterns make this unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
거래량
$4,326종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...North Korea's accelerated ballistic missile testing in April 2026, including short-range launches on April 7-8 with cluster-bomb warheads, cruise missiles from a new destroyer on April 13 overseen by Kim Jong Un, and an unidentified ballistic missile eastward on April 18, has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on a test by April 30. This reflects Pyongyang's frequent violations of UN Security Council resolutions amid ongoing U.S.-South Korea joint military drills and its five-year nuclear-missile buildup, with multiple launches already this month signaling no de-escalation. While odds imply overwhelming probability, rare scenarios like a sudden diplomatic thaw or internal directive could prevent further activity, though historical patterns make this unlikely.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문