Trader consensus slightly favors Republicans at 53.5% over Democrats at 45.5% in Florida's 13th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's post-redistricting Republican lean—estimated Trump +11—and incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's reelection bid amid her strong fundraising. However, the contest remains tightly matched due to aggressive Democratic recruitment, headlined by retired Brig. Gen. Leela Gray's February launch and other challengers like Earle Ford, with April reports showing cycle-leading contributions exceeding 2024 levels. House Democrats have targeted the Pinellas County seat as flippable, fueling competition ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, where national midterm trends and turnout in battleground areas could tip the balance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
47%
Democratic Party
40%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$221 거래량
47%
Democratic Party
$832 거래량
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus slightly favors Republicans at 53.5% over Democrats at 45.5% in Florida's 13th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's post-redistricting Republican lean—estimated Trump +11—and incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's reelection bid amid her strong fundraising. However, the contest remains tightly matched due to aggressive Democratic recruitment, headlined by retired Brig. Gen. Leela Gray's February launch and other challengers like Earle Ford, with April reports showing cycle-leading contributions exceeding 2024 levels. House Democrats have targeted the Pinellas County seat as flippable, fueling competition ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, where national midterm trends and turnout in battleground areas could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
거래량
$1,053종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus slightly favors Republicans at 53.5% over Democrats at 45.5% in Florida's 13th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's post-redistricting Republican lean—estimated Trump +11—and incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's reelection bid amid her strong fundraising. However, the contest remains tightly matched due to aggressive Democratic recruitment, headlined by retired Brig. Gen. Leela Gray's February launch and other challengers like Earle Ford, with April reports showing cycle-leading contributions exceeding 2024 levels. House Democrats have targeted the Pinellas County seat as flippable, fueling competition ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, where national midterm trends and turnout in battleground areas could tip the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,053종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors Republicans at 53.5% over Democrats at 45.5% in Florida's 13th Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's post-redistricting Republican lean—estimated Trump +11—and incumbent Anna Paulina Luna's reelection bid amid her strong fundraising. However, the contest remains tightly matched due to aggressive Democratic recruitment, headlined by retired Brig. Gen. Leela Gray's February launch and other challengers like Earle Ford, with April reports showing cycle-leading contributions exceeding 2024 levels. House Democrats have targeted the Pinellas County seat as flippable, fueling competition ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election, where national midterm trends and turnout in battleground areas could tip the balance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문