Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 93.2% for a China coup attempt before 2027, reflecting President Xi Jinping's consolidated control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army amid ongoing anti-corruption purges. In late January 2026, official probes targeted Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department head Liu Zhenli on corruption charges, including leaked nuclear secrets, prompting unsubstantiated overseas rumors of a failed coup plot at Beijing's Jingxi Hotel on January 18—claims dismissed by primary reporting as factional infighting rather than a viable challenge. No verified evidence emerged, and markets barely shifted, signaling traders view the episode as reinforcing Xi's dominance. Recent March 2026 National People's Congress announcements emphasized Party control, national security, and economic stability through 2027, with no further instability signals. Late-breaking military scandals or economic crises could shift odds, but structural barriers like Xi's loyalty networks remain high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$119,532 거래량
$119,532 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$119,532 거래량
$119,532 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 93.2% for a China coup attempt before 2027, reflecting President Xi Jinping's consolidated control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army amid ongoing anti-corruption purges. In late January 2026, official probes targeted Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department head Liu Zhenli on corruption charges, including leaked nuclear secrets, prompting unsubstantiated overseas rumors of a failed coup plot at Beijing's Jingxi Hotel on January 18—claims dismissed by primary reporting as factional infighting rather than a viable challenge. No verified evidence emerged, and markets barely shifted, signaling traders view the episode as reinforcing Xi's dominance. Recent March 2026 National People's Congress announcements emphasized Party control, national security, and economic stability through 2027, with no further instability signals. Late-breaking military scandals or economic crises could shift odds, but structural barriers like Xi's loyalty networks remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$119,532종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 93.2% for a China coup attempt before 2027, reflecting President Xi Jinping's consolidated control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army amid ongoing anti-corruption purges. In late January 2026, official probes targeted Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department head Liu Zhenli on corruption charges, including leaked nuclear secrets, prompting unsubstantiated overseas rumors of a failed coup plot at Beijing's Jingxi Hotel on January 18—claims dismissed by primary reporting as factional infighting rather than a viable challenge. No verified evidence emerged, and markets barely shifted, signaling traders view the episode as reinforcing Xi's dominance. Recent March 2026 National People's Congress announcements emphasized Party control, national security, and economic stability through 2027, with no further instability signals. Late-breaking military scandals or economic crises could shift odds, but structural barriers like Xi's loyalty networks remain high.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$119,532종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 93.2% for a China coup attempt before 2027, reflecting President Xi Jinping's consolidated control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army amid ongoing anti-corruption purges. In late January 2026, official probes targeted Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department head Liu Zhenli on corruption charges, including leaked nuclear secrets, prompting unsubstantiated overseas rumors of a failed coup plot at Beijing's Jingxi Hotel on January 18—claims dismissed by primary reporting as factional infighting rather than a viable challenge. No verified evidence emerged, and markets barely shifted, signaling traders view the episode as reinforcing Xi's dominance. Recent March 2026 National People's Congress announcements emphasized Party control, national security, and economic stability through 2027, with no further instability signals. Late-breaking military scandals or economic crises could shift odds, but structural barriers like Xi's loyalty networks remain high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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