President Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption purges within the People’s Liberation Army have further centralized authority over military command structures and eliminated potential rivals, anchoring traders’ near-certain expectation that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Early 2026 investigations into senior generals, including Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, were presented by official channels as routine discipline matters that extended Xi’s control rather than signaling successful opposition. Recent high-level diplomacy, including the May 2026 summit with the United States focused on constructive strategic stability, has shown no visible signs of domestic fracture. While a sudden leadership health event or sharp economic downturn could theoretically create openings for dissent, institutional loyalty checks and historical precedent make such shifts highly unlikely within the resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$127,683 거래량
$127,683 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$127,683 거래량
$127,683 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption purges within the People’s Liberation Army have further centralized authority over military command structures and eliminated potential rivals, anchoring traders’ near-certain expectation that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Early 2026 investigations into senior generals, including Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, were presented by official channels as routine discipline matters that extended Xi’s control rather than signaling successful opposition. Recent high-level diplomacy, including the May 2026 summit with the United States focused on constructive strategic stability, has shown no visible signs of domestic fracture. While a sudden leadership health event or sharp economic downturn could theoretically create openings for dissent, institutional loyalty checks and historical precedent make such shifts highly unlikely within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$127,683종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption purges within the People’s Liberation Army have further centralized authority over military command structures and eliminated potential rivals, anchoring traders’ near-certain expectation that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Early 2026 investigations into senior generals, including Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, were presented by official channels as routine discipline matters that extended Xi’s control rather than signaling successful opposition. Recent high-level diplomacy, including the May 2026 summit with the United States focused on constructive strategic stability, has shown no visible signs of domestic fracture. While a sudden leadership health event or sharp economic downturn could theoretically create openings for dissent, institutional loyalty checks and historical precedent make such shifts highly unlikely within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$127,683종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption purges within the People’s Liberation Army have further centralized authority over military command structures and eliminated potential rivals, anchoring traders’ near-certain expectation that no coup attempt will occur before 2027. Early 2026 investigations into senior generals, including Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, were presented by official channels as routine discipline matters that extended Xi’s control rather than signaling successful opposition. Recent high-level diplomacy, including the May 2026 summit with the United States focused on constructive strategic stability, has shown no visible signs of domestic fracture. While a sudden leadership health event or sharp economic downturn could theoretically create openings for dissent, institutional loyalty checks and historical precedent make such shifts highly unlikely within the resolution window.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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