China's centralized political structure under Xi Jinping, reinforced by extensive anti-corruption drives and military reforms that have aligned key security institutions with central leadership, underpins the strong trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Successive leadership consolidations and the absence of visible factional rifts or organized opposition within the Communist Party elite have contributed to this assessment of internal stability. Historical precedents of managed succession processes in the modern era further align with current implied probabilities. Even so, realistic shifts could arise from an abrupt leadership health event, a major economic crisis triggering elite realignments, or unexpected external pressures that test loyalty networks, though none currently show signs of imminent disruption.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$128,628 거래량
$128,628 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$128,628 거래량
$128,628 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.China's centralized political structure under Xi Jinping, reinforced by extensive anti-corruption drives and military reforms that have aligned key security institutions with central leadership, underpins the strong trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Successive leadership consolidations and the absence of visible factional rifts or organized opposition within the Communist Party elite have contributed to this assessment of internal stability. Historical precedents of managed succession processes in the modern era further align with current implied probabilities. Even so, realistic shifts could arise from an abrupt leadership health event, a major economic crisis triggering elite realignments, or unexpected external pressures that test loyalty networks, though none currently show signs of imminent disruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$128,628종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.China's centralized political structure under Xi Jinping, reinforced by extensive anti-corruption drives and military reforms that have aligned key security institutions with central leadership, underpins the strong trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Successive leadership consolidations and the absence of visible factional rifts or organized opposition within the Communist Party elite have contributed to this assessment of internal stability. Historical precedents of managed succession processes in the modern era further align with current implied probabilities. Even so, realistic shifts could arise from an abrupt leadership health event, a major economic crisis triggering elite realignments, or unexpected external pressures that test loyalty networks, though none currently show signs of imminent disruption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$128,628종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...China's centralized political structure under Xi Jinping, reinforced by extensive anti-corruption drives and military reforms that have aligned key security institutions with central leadership, underpins the strong trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Successive leadership consolidations and the absence of visible factional rifts or organized opposition within the Communist Party elite have contributed to this assessment of internal stability. Historical precedents of managed succession processes in the modern era further align with current implied probabilities. Even so, realistic shifts could arise from an abrupt leadership health event, a major economic crisis triggering elite realignments, or unexpected external pressures that test loyalty networks, though none currently show signs of imminent disruption.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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