OpenAI's ChatGPT experienced a significant global outage on April 20, 2026, disrupting access for thousands of users worldwide and affecting related services like Codex, as confirmed by Downdetector spikes and OpenAI's status updates; this incident, lasting several hours, highlights ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges amid explosive demand for its large language model. Despite strong overall reliability—99.83% uptime for ChatGPT from January to April 2026—traders weigh historical patterns of peak-hour disruptions against OpenAI's massive compute investments and partnerships like those with Microsoft. Competitive pressures intensify scrutiny, with rivals like Anthropic reporting similar compute shortages. Key to watch: OpenAI's status.openai.com for elevated error rates and any Q2 earnings hints on capacity expansions, as usage surges could trigger further incidents before resolution deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,081 거래량
2026.05.01
May 1
Yes
May 8
Yes
$10,081 거래량
May 1
$8,179 거래량
Yes
May 8
$1,903 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT experienced a significant global outage on April 20, 2026, disrupting access for thousands of users worldwide and affecting related services like Codex, as confirmed by Downdetector spikes and OpenAI's status updates; this incident, lasting several hours, highlights ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges amid explosive demand for its large language model. Despite strong overall reliability—99.83% uptime for ChatGPT from January to April 2026—traders weigh historical patterns of peak-hour disruptions against OpenAI's massive compute investments and partnerships like those with Microsoft. Competitive pressures intensify scrutiny, with rivals like Anthropic reporting similar compute shortages. Key to watch: OpenAI's status.openai.com for elevated error rates and any Q2 earnings hints on capacity expansions, as usage surges could trigger further incidents before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 21, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
거래량
$10,081종료일
2026.05.08마켓 개설일
Apr 21, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT experienced a significant global outage on April 20, 2026, disrupting access for thousands of users worldwide and affecting related services like Codex, as confirmed by Downdetector spikes and OpenAI's status updates; this incident, lasting several hours, highlights ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges amid explosive demand for its large language model. Despite strong overall reliability—99.83% uptime for ChatGPT from January to April 2026—traders weigh historical patterns of peak-hour disruptions against OpenAI's massive compute investments and partnerships like those with Microsoft. Competitive pressures intensify scrutiny, with rivals like Anthropic reporting similar compute shortages. Key to watch: OpenAI's status.openai.com for elevated error rates and any Q2 earnings hints on capacity expansions, as usage surges could trigger further incidents before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$10,081종료일
2026.05.08마켓 개설일
Apr 21, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
OpenAI's ChatGPT experienced a significant global outage on April 20, 2026, disrupting access for thousands of users worldwide and affecting related services like Codex, as confirmed by Downdetector spikes and OpenAI's status updates; this incident, lasting several hours, highlights ongoing infrastructure scaling challenges amid explosive demand for its large language model. Despite strong overall reliability—99.83% uptime for ChatGPT from January to April 2026—traders weigh historical patterns of peak-hour disruptions against OpenAI's massive compute investments and partnerships like those with Microsoft. Competitive pressures intensify scrutiny, with rivals like Anthropic reporting similar compute shortages. Key to watch: OpenAI's status.openai.com for elevated error rates and any Q2 earnings hints on capacity expansions, as usage surges could trigger further incidents before resolution deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문