Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of no change to the Bank of Canada's 2.25% policy rate at its June 10 announcement, reflecting Governing Council’s March 18 hold amid cooling headline inflation to 1.8% year-over-year in February—below the 2% target—yet resilient core measures and a stable unemployment rate of 6.7% in March, with only modest 14,000 job gains. Major bank forecasts and economist consensus anticipate steady rates through much of 2026, citing balanced risks without acute labor distress or inflationary pressures warranting a 25 basis point cut (7.5%) or hike (6%). The April 29 Monetary Policy Report looms as the key near-term catalyst for sentiment shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No change 86%
25 bps decrease 8%
Increase 6%
50+ bps decrease 3.8%
신규
신규
2026.06.10
50+ bps decrease
4%
25 bps decrease
8%
No change
86%
Increase
6%
No change 86%
25 bps decrease 8%
Increase 6%
50+ bps decrease 3.8%
신규
신규
2026.06.10
50+ bps decrease
$188 거래량
4%
25 bps decrease
$836 거래량
8%
No change
$3,569 거래량
86%
Increase
$804 거래량
6%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of no change to the Bank of Canada's 2.25% policy rate at its June 10 announcement, reflecting Governing Council’s March 18 hold amid cooling headline inflation to 1.8% year-over-year in February—below the 2% target—yet resilient core measures and a stable unemployment rate of 6.7% in March, with only modest 14,000 job gains. Major bank forecasts and economist consensus anticipate steady rates through much of 2026, citing balanced risks without acute labor distress or inflationary pressures warranting a 25 basis point cut (7.5%) or hike (6%). The April 29 Monetary Policy Report looms as the key near-term catalyst for sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
거래량
$5,397종료일
2026.06.10마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of no change to the Bank of Canada's 2.25% policy rate at its June 10 announcement, reflecting Governing Council’s March 18 hold amid cooling headline inflation to 1.8% year-over-year in February—below the 2% target—yet resilient core measures and a stable unemployment rate of 6.7% in March, with only modest 14,000 job gains. Major bank forecasts and economist consensus anticipate steady rates through much of 2026, citing balanced risks without acute labor distress or inflationary pressures warranting a 25 basis point cut (7.5%) or hike (6%). The April 29 Monetary Policy Report looms as the key near-term catalyst for sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$5,397종료일
2026.06.10마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of no change to the Bank of Canada's 2.25% policy rate at its June 10 announcement, reflecting Governing Council’s March 18 hold amid cooling headline inflation to 1.8% year-over-year in February—below the 2% target—yet resilient core measures and a stable unemployment rate of 6.7% in March, with only modest 14,000 job gains. Major bank forecasts and economist consensus anticipate steady rates through much of 2026, citing balanced risks without acute labor distress or inflationary pressures warranting a 25 basis point cut (7.5%) or hike (6%). The April 29 Monetary Policy Report looms as the key near-term catalyst for sentiment shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문