Polymarket traders' near-even split on the Reserve Bank of Australia's June 2026 cash rate decision—49.5% implying no change from 4.10% and 45.5% an increase—reflects competing forces in Australia's economy, with persistent inflation at 3.7% through February and a resilient labor market driving hike sentiment. March employment data released April 16 showed unemployment steady at 4.3% alongside 17,900 new jobs, mostly full-time, firming rate-rise odds despite slight participation softening. A trim CPI decline offers hold-side hope, but sticky pressures above the 2-3% target band sustain tension. Key swing factors include April 29 March-quarter CPI and the May 5 RBA meeting outcome, with ASX futures pricing 72% hike odds for May.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트인상 52%
변경 없음 29%
인하 3.8%
$18,784 거래량
$18,784 거래량
2026.06.16
인하
4%
변경 없음
45%
인상
47%
인상 52%
변경 없음 29%
인하 3.8%
$18,784 거래량
$18,784 거래량
2026.06.16
인하
$6,048 거래량
4%
변경 없음
$6,273 거래량
45%
인상
$6,462 거래량
47%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Polymarket traders' near-even split on the Reserve Bank of Australia's June 2026 cash rate decision—49.5% implying no change from 4.10% and 45.5% an increase—reflects competing forces in Australia's economy, with persistent inflation at 3.7% through February and a resilient labor market driving hike sentiment. March employment data released April 16 showed unemployment steady at 4.3% alongside 17,900 new jobs, mostly full-time, firming rate-rise odds despite slight participation softening. A trim CPI decline offers hold-side hope, but sticky pressures above the 2-3% target band sustain tension. Key swing factors include April 29 March-quarter CPI and the May 5 RBA meeting outcome, with ASX futures pricing 72% hike odds for May.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
거래량
$18,784종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Polymarket traders' near-even split on the Reserve Bank of Australia's June 2026 cash rate decision—49.5% implying no change from 4.10% and 45.5% an increase—reflects competing forces in Australia's economy, with persistent inflation at 3.7% through February and a resilient labor market driving hike sentiment. March employment data released April 16 showed unemployment steady at 4.3% alongside 17,900 new jobs, mostly full-time, firming rate-rise odds despite slight participation softening. A trim CPI decline offers hold-side hope, but sticky pressures above the 2-3% target band sustain tension. Key swing factors include April 29 March-quarter CPI and the May 5 RBA meeting outcome, with ASX futures pricing 72% hike odds for May.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
거래량
$18,784종료일
2026.06.16마켓 개설일
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' near-even split on the Reserve Bank of Australia's June 2026 cash rate decision—49.5% implying no change from 4.10% and 45.5% an increase—reflects competing forces in Australia's economy, with persistent inflation at 3.7% through February and a resilient labor market driving hike sentiment. March employment data released April 16 showed unemployment steady at 4.3% alongside 17,900 new jobs, mostly full-time, firming rate-rise odds despite slight participation softening. A trim CPI decline offers hold-side hope, but sticky pressures above the 2-3% target band sustain tension. Key swing factors include April 29 March-quarter CPI and the May 5 RBA meeting outcome, with ASX futures pricing 72% hike odds for May.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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